I love this discussion AJ... This reminds me of the old days back when Dave Malinsky was still alive... Intelligent sports investing conversations...
I do understand what you mean by a team being overvalued or there's no more line value just like when the Patriots went undefeated and they covered the spread for like the first eight games and people kept playing them and they didn't cover a spread for the rest of the year because they were overvalued.
AJ something I'm going to have to really look into, but in my opinion it probably works better when you're fading an Ats streak in football or basketball because the line just gets higher and higher and higher and the team may continue to win but not cover...