1. Nationals +0.5 First Five innings (+100)
Washington plays better on the road this season and Philly plays better on the road this season... Washington also has their best road pitcher on the mound today. Philly is 8-2 last 10 games but weren't concerned about the full game.
Nationals strength is hitting righties on the road... Phillies strength is hitting righties at home... No advantage there.
Nationals have Josiah Gray on the mound today and he's pitched well on the road this season...In 9 road starts, he's given up an avg of 1.67 runs. Nationals are 7-2 in his 9 road starts this season.
Phillies have Kyle Gibson on the mound today and he's pitched decent at home... In 11 home starts he's given up an avg of 2.82 runs... If you want to throw out his worst home performance he's given up an avg of 2.50 runs in 10 home starts. Phillies are 7-4 in his 11 home starts.
My only concern is:
1. Philly has been playing very good baseball lately, they are locked and focused, they are in the middle of a playoff race and Washington kinda playing out the string.
But we don't need Washington to win the game, we just need them to tie or win the first five innings... Frankly, I believe Philadelphia is going to win the game just not the first five...
Final score 3-2 First five innings.