KC @ LAA
Starting Pitchers
9:49
|
SP
|
GS +
|
GS -
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
xERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
wOBA
|
xwOBA
|
K%
|
BB%
|
HC%
|
GB%
|
KC
|
Lynch - L
|
(5/12)
|
(7/12)))
|
1.53
|
5.19
|
4.47
|
4.50
|
4.45
|
4.23
|
0.344
|
0.346
|
22.4%
|
9.3%
|
46.7%
|
37.1%
|
LAA
|
Ohtani
|
(7/11)
|
4/11)
|
1.17
|
3.28
|
3.17
|
3.09
|
2.92
|
2.86
|
0.285
|
0.296
|
31.2%
|
6.1%
|
36.4%
|
38.3%
|
Edge – LAA big
Bullpens
N/A – This is a 1st 5 bet only
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
HardHit%
|
Rank
|
Barrel%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
KCR
|
3.90
|
27
|
0.296
|
26
|
91
|
24
|
-22.5
|
23
|
7.9%
|
21
|
38.0%
|
16
|
6.7%
|
20
|
20.1%
|
6
|
LAA
|
4.25
|
20
|
0.309
|
17
|
102
|
13
|
0.4
|
18
|
8.0%
|
18
|
37.9%
|
18
|
9.4%
|
4
|
25.6%
|
30
|
Edge – LAA
Conclusion: The Royals have already takn hew first two games of this series and will be looking for a a sweep tonight, but I don’t think that they get it.
Offensively, the Royals have a bottom tier offense. Lately the Angels haven’t been much better, but they will have Mike trout back tonight. There’s also Ohtani who hit a couple out of the park last night. The Angels should be the better hitting team in this one.
The starting pitching matchup should be a complete mismatch.
Daniel Lynch has more below average start than above average ones with a very high WHIP and ERA. His ERA metrics aren’t as high, but they are not good. And neither is his wOBA and xWOBA. Lynch’s K rate is actually pretty good, but his walk rate is high and he’ giving up a lot of hard contact.
Shohei Ohtani has started 11 games with 7 grading as above average and 4 grading as below. His WHIP and ERA are both very good and his ERA metrics are as good as or even better, than his ERA. Ohtani has a wOBA and xwOBA that are both lower than league average, with an elite K rate is elite and even a solid walk rate that used to be problematic. Ohtabi’s stats make him look like a clear “bet on” and that’s what I’m doing tonight.
LAA 1st 5 ML in a series pf parlays