GURUSTIMP
Great thread !!! happens to me all the time, especially when I post a play!!! LOL
I actually once started a "fade this shit" post which is what this post is technically.
once enough people start fading you is when you'll finally turn things back around
at the end of the day it's all about the money. If you are studying statistics and are picking plays that there's a very slim chance they are going to lose, then guess what, everyone else is thinking the same thing and betting accordingly and more than likely something "freaky" is going to happen in the game and surer than shit they end up losing.
The best plays on the board are when you find those can't lose plays that 90% or more of the public is on and hold your nose and take the other team. It won't happen every time but you will usually be getting great odds and even if you make 4 picks like that and go 2-2 you are making $ because of the odds. Not to mention laughing your ass off when the Pirates beat the White Sox or something similar. On those plays if you take the run line and are still getting + odds are great options because that's how the house cuts their losses on those can't lose games. They make the odds like -300 so everyone takes the -1.5 and they only win by a run.