For what it’s worth, yesterday was an absolutely crazy day. I liked too damn many games, so I ended up played them all. That’s nuts! Can I plead temporary insanity? If things had gone wrong, I could have taken a real beating. Fortunately, things went mostly right and I ended up +7.27 units for the day. That brings my May total to date to +42.77 units. It’s still hard to believe that I really ended April -20.40 units. That’s all in the rear view mirror today. How quickly things can change.
I place a whopping 14 bets on 12 games and cashed 9 of them. My winners were the Cubs ML (2 units) , the Mets ML (3 units), the Red Sox 1st 5 RL (2 units), the Astros 1st 5 and full game RLs a combined 5 units), the Cards ML (2 units), the Twins ML (2 units) , the Royals 1st 5 ML (1 unit), and the Dodgers ML (1 unit). My losers were the Phillies ML (1unit), the Marlins 1st 5 ML (1unit), the Red Sox RL (2 units), The Diamondbacks RL (2 units), and the Padres/Dodgers 1st 5 under (2 units).
Today is another day, and hopefully I won’t like as many games. so let’s get to it. Here’s the first one that I do like.
LAA @ MINN
Starting Pitchers
1:10
|
SP 2019
|
Team W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC %
|
SC %
|
GB %
|
LAA
|
Cahill - R
|
(3-5)
|
(3/8)
|
(5-8)
|
1.34
|
6.35
|
6.89
|
4.93
|
4.68
|
7.26
|
2.72
|
2.95
|
0.259
|
0.248
|
74.1%
|
42.1%
|
15.9%
|
40.0%
|
MINN
|
Odorizzi - R
|
(5-3)
|
(6/8)
|
(2/8)
|
0.94
|
2.32
|
2.82
|
4.49
|
4.27
|
9.07
|
3.16
|
0.42
|
0.168
|
0.221
|
75.9%
|
35.9%
|
20.8%
|
24.8%
|
Trevor Cahill will get the nod for the Angels today. Cahill has made 8 starts with very mixed results. He does have 3 quality starts, but he also has 5 poor ones. That’s not a positive ratio. What’s even worse is that 2 of Cahill’s 3 good outings occurred in his first 3 starts, while 4 ouf the 5 poor ones were in his last 4 outings. As a result Cahill’s WHIP is now a little high and his ERA is very high. As for Cahill’s ERA metrics, his FIP is even higher than his ERA , but his xFIP and SIERA are over a run lower but still lousy. Cahill’s K rate is pedestrian and his 12 walks and 13 HRs are both on the high side. The only real positive sign from Cahill is that he finally broke a string of 3 straight poor outings, by tossing a quality start (6 IP, 2 r, 4 H) at the Orioles in his last start. Of course, it was the Orioles, so take that with a big grain of salt.
Jake Odorizzi has started 8 games for the Twins and has had 6 good outings, including his last 5, as opp0sed to just 2 poor ones. In his last 5 starts Odorizzi has give up a total of just 3 runs on 21 hits and 5 walks over 31.1 unnings, and he’s currently on a streak of 20.2 scoreless innings. Odorizzi WHIP, ERA and FIP are all excellent, but his xFIP and SIERA are both considerably higher. That’s probably because of a BABIP that’s 50 points lower than his career mark, and will almost certainly increase. Another factor could be that Odorizzi has a .222 wOBA against with a .285 xwOBA. That is the 4th largest gap on the wOBA-xwOBA scale, but the fact is that a .285 xwOBA is still very good. Odorizzi also has a solid 43/15 K/BB ratio in his 42.2 innings of work. The Twins have been working with Odorizzi to lower his HR rate. Odorizzi is an extreme fly ball pitcher with a very low GB rate. He allowed 30 HRs in 143.1 innings in 2017, and 20 in 164.1 innings in 2018, nut just 2 so far this season because of his low hard contact rate. Odorizzi has also increased his K rates the last two seasons. Obvioussly, the Twins have invested a lot of time and effort into Odorizzi and so far it’s really paying off.
Edge - MINN
Bullpens
Edge – LAA small
Offenses
TEAM
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
LAA
|
4.88
|
13
|
6.9
|
10
|
0.320
|
15
|
104
|
8
|
0.179
|
13
|
-0.4
|
19
|
9.5%
|
12
|
15.6%
|
1
|
5.8
|
10
|
MINN
|
5.28
|
6
|
30.0
|
4
|
0.350
|
2
|
118
|
2
|
0.234
|
1
|
-3.0
|
25
|
8.3%
|
19
|
19.5%
|
3
|
8.7
|
3
|
The Angels walk more, strike out less, and are better on the bases, but every edge that actually applies to hitting goes to the Twins. However, it’s also true that the Angels have rated poorly in stats like BABIP, particular, with runners in scoring position, so far this season, so their offense looks like a positive regression candidate.
Edge – MINN but closer than you n=might think
Conclusion: The first two games in this series have both been close, and another close game would not surprise me at all. The The numbers say that the Twins have the better offense, but I think it’s closer than it looks on paper. I give the Angels a small edge in the bullpen. I think that the biggest difference between these two teams today is the two starting pitchers. Yes Odorizzi is probably due for some regression, but what ever the Twins are doing with him, it’s working incredibly well. As for Trevor Cahill, he has struggled. Some folks, wose opinions I respect are siding the the Angels here and the line has moved down slightly. I don’t know what they’re seeing that I may not be, but I’ll go with the better starting pitcher for 5 innings today, and that line has gone up since I bet it this morning.
Pick - MINN 1st 5 ML (-141 for 2 units)
BALT @ NYY
Starting Pitchers
3:05
|
SP 2019
|
Team W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC %
|
SC %
|
GB %
|
BALT
|
Hess - R
|
(2-5)
|
(2/7)
|
(5/7)
|
1.30
|
5.85
|
6.60
|
5.63
|
5.19
|
6.96
|
3.06
|
2.78
|
0.242
|
0.226
|
64.3%
|
37.9%
|
17.5%
|
28.7%
|
NYY
|
Happ - L
|
(5-3)
|
(4/8)
|
(3/8)
|
1.22
|
4.36
|
0.25
|
0.26
|
0.80
|
5.21
|
4.91
|
4.65
|
0.247
|
0.260
|
80.2%
|
37.1%
|
22.0%
|
38.2%
|
David Hess will get the start for the Orioles. He does have 2 good outings, but he also has 5 poor ones. That’s more than a two to one ratio, in the wrong direction. In his 7 starts, Hess has given up 21 runs (18 earned) on 28 hits and 7 walks over 28.1 innings. His WHIP is decent, but his ERA is not, and his ERA metrics are mostly even worse. That’s not a good sign for Hess’ future prospects. Another warning sign is Hess’ low BABIP. It’s 33 points lower than his career mark. That just good luck and won’t last. Hess doesn’t miss many bats and he’s given up 8 HRs this season.
After a slow start, JA Happ has gotten back on track with 4 good starts in his last 5 outings, after two poor one in his first 3 starts. Of course, 2 of those good starts were in SF and Anaheim, two pitcher friendly venues. Now he’s back at Yankee Stadium, where he’s allowed 17 runs on 28 hits (7 HRs) and 8 walks over 25 innings this season. Happ actually pitched pretty well at Yankee Stadium last year after being traded to the Yankees. The problem is that Happ’s FB velocity is down nearly 1.5 mph from last season. Happ relies on his FB and any velocity decline has to be cause for concern.
Edge – NYY mostly by default
Bullpens
Edge - NYY
Offenses
TEAM
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
BALT
|
3.98
|
23
|
-27.8
|
22
|
0.298
|
23
|
85
|
22
|
0.154
|
23
|
0.9
|
12
|
7.2%
|
28
|
23.5%
|
15
|
1.8
|
24
|
NYY
|
5.00
|
11
|
10.1
|
8
|
0.328
|
12
|
104
|
8
|
0.177
|
14
|
2.6
|
7
|
9.7%
|
9
|
22.8%
|
13
|
5.4
|
15
|
Edge – NYY
Conclusion: The Yankees possess every single edge in this game. They have the much better offense, the much better bullpen and the better stating pitchers. It’s not that Happp is all that good. It’s more tha Hess is that bad. What a shocker! These are the Orioles, one of the worst teams in baseball. While I don’t know this for a fact, I doubt that the O’s have been favored in any game so far this season and I’m not sure that they will be They don’t play the Marlins. Yes, they’re that bad. Still they’ll find ways to win some games. Hell they beat these Yankees twice back in March, but I don’t see that happening here. I just wish that I had more confidence in Happ, but I don’t so well be cautious.
Pick – NYY RL (-131 for 1 unit) and Over 9 ((-116 for 1 unit)
PITT @ ARIZ
Starting Pitchers
3:40
|
SP 2019
|
W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC %
|
SC %
|
GB %
|
PITT
|
Archer - R
|
(1-4)
|
(3/5)
|
(1/5)
|
1.30
|
4.33
|
4.81
|
4.68
|
4.39
|
9.67
|
4.00
|
1.67
|
0.230
|
0.273
|
79.3%
|
39.4%
|
16.9%
|
32.4%
|
ARIZ
|
Greinke - R
|
(6-3)
|
(8/9)
|
(1/9)
|
0.93
|
3.16
|
3.35
|
3.19
|
3.41
|
9.00
|
1.26
|
1.26
|
0.214
|
0.255
|
76.6%
|
35.3%
|
17.0%
|
41.3%
|
Chris Archer had been surprisingly effective this season before hitting the IL of April 27because of inflammation in the thumb on his pitching hand. Archer had started 5 games for the Pirates and had gone at least 5 innings in 4 of the 5. His one bad start was hus last one m when the thumb was obviously bothering him. Until that slart tart, Archer had not given up more than 3 runs in any of the other 4. Archer’s WHIP is a little high, as is his ERA, abd his ERA metrics are also high. Part of the reason is that last start, in which Archer gave up 6 runs on 6 hits (3 HRs) and 3 walks in just 4 innings. His strikeout rate in still very good, but his walk rate (12 in 27 IP) is troubling. Other than hiswalks, Archers was having a pretty good season, but another potential problem is that Archer is an extreme fly ball pitcher with a HR/FB% of over 15%.
Zack Greinke has already tossed 8 quality starts in his 9 outings. Greinke’s only poor start was his very first one when the Dodgers lit him up for 7 runs on 7 hits (4 HRs) and 2 walks over just 3.2 innings in LA. The Dodgers have always given Greike trouble even since he left LA as a free agent before the 2016 season. Since that first bad start, Greinke has given up just 14 runs (13 earned) on 38 hits and 6 walks over 53.1 innings. He hasb’t given up more than 3 earned runs in any of those outings, and has worked at least 6ix innings in all of them. Greinke only has 2 walks in his last 4 starts and only 8 on the season o along with 57 Ks. He also hasn’t allowed a HR in his last 5starts. His WHIP, ERA and ERA metrics are all very good. Greinke is striking out a batter per inning, while limiting his walks, HRs and hard contact. That’s a sold combination
Edge - ARIZ
Bullpens
These are two lousy bullpens
Edge – None
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
PITT
|
3.73
|
26
|
-30.8
|
23
|
0.292
|
25
|
82
|
24
|
0.138
|
28
|
1.3
|
11
|
7.6%
|
26
|
22.7%
|
11
|
1.5
|
25
|
ARIZ
|
5.00
|
11
|
6.1
|
11
|
0.330
|
8
|
104
|
8
|
0.195
|
7
|
-1.4
|
21
|
7.8%
|
23
|
22.7%
|
11
|
7.2
|
7
|
Edge – ARIZ big
Conclusions: The Daimondbacks have the much better offense. The two bullpens are both lousy and I don’t trust either of them lat in a game. As for the two starting pitchers, I’m really not sure what to expect from Chris Archer today. This will be Archer’s first start since April 26. That’s usually a fade spots for me. Zack Greinke’s been very good since that first really bdd outing against the Dodgers, and think he’ll pitch well here against the weak hitting Pirates. I bet this one this morning and the line has gone up
Pick - ARIZ 1st 5 RL -0.5 (-120 for 2 units)
So far so good. I lost the total on the BALT/NYY game but cahsed with the Yankees RL, and 1st 55s with the Diamondbacks and Twins. Here's two early evening games.
TB @ MIA
Starting Pitchers
7:10
|
SP 2019
|
W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC %
|
SC %
|
GB %
|
TB
|
Stanek
|
N/A
|
n/A
|
N/A
|
0.70
|
1.72
|
2.15
|
3.70
|
3.15
|
9.77
|
1.15
|
0.57
|
0.167
|
0.222
|
83.3%
|
40.5%
|
18.9%
|
35.1%
|
MIA
|
Urena
|
(1/7)
|
(4/8)
|
(4/8)
|
1.48
|
4.82
|
4.71
|
4.52
|
4.75
|
6.17
|
2.89
|
1.35
|
0.290
|
0.320
|
69.8%
|
43.5%
|
15.6%
|
51.3%
|
Ryne Stanek is scheduled to be today’s “opener for TB. He’s “opened” 10 games and never goes more than a couple of innings making his stats meaningless.. He throws pure heat and other than in one start against the Royals, has not allowed a single run in the other 9 starts. Stanek has now given up a total of 3 runs on 9 hits and 2 walk with 17 Ks, in his 15.2 innings as an “opener”.
Jose Urena is not having a gparticularly ood season, Urena has started87 games for the Marlins and has 4 quality starts and 4 poor ones. The only good this about that ratio is that the 4 good starts were all in his last 5 outings, while 3 of the 4 poor ones were his first 3 starts. Urena’s WHIP and ERA are both high, and his ERA metrics are totally consistent with his ERA. Urena doesn’t miss enough bats, still walks too many batters (15) and gets hit hard. What makes Urena so tough to bet on or against is that he’s so damned inconsistent. He’s nor good enough to bet on, but not bad enough to automatically fade.
Edge - TB
Bullpens
Edge – TB
Offenses
TEAM
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
TB
|
4.62
|
17
|
21.0
|
6
|
0.330
|
8
|
110
|
6
|
0.180
|
12
|
3.0
|
5
|
9.7%
|
9
|
24.4%
|
19
|
7.5
|
6
|
MIA
|
2.69
|
30
|
-66.9
|
30
|
0.263
|
30
|
65
|
30
|
0.091
|
30
|
-4.5
|
29
|
7.1%
|
29
|
25.0%
|
21
|
-1.7
|
30
|
Edge TB huge
Conclusion: The Rays are obviously the much better team, and they should win this game. The Rays have a good offense and the Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. The Rays have a great pen and the Marlin don’t. That leaves the two starting pitchers . The Rayswill use their “opener” concept tonight so it will be a group effort by the bullpen, The Marlins will counter with Jose Urena who will either be very good or very bad, but ither way based on the team’s 1-7 record in Urena starts, the Marlins will probably lose. The -173 ML seems a little steep considering that I’m not sure who will follow Stanek. So I’ll lay the run for a better price odds on a 1st 5 RL. With Stanek probably tossing 2 of those 5 innings.
Pick – TB 1st 5 RL -1 (+120 for 1 unit)
HTN @ DET
Starting Pitchers
7:10
|
SP 2019
|
Team W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
SC %
|
GB %
|
HTN
|
Verlander - R
|
(7-2)
|
(7/9)
|
(2/9)
|
0.82
|
2.51
|
3.94
|
3.56
|
3.28
|
10.67
|
2.20
|
1.57
|
0.162
|
0.183
|
94.6%
|
45.2%
|
12.6%
|
36.3%
|
DET
|
Soto - R
|
(0-1)
|
-0.1
|
(1/1)
|
2.75
|
15.75
|
7.36
|
7.37
|
6.93
|
2.25
|
4.50
|
2.25
|
0.429
|
0.421
|
41.7%
|
35.0%
|
15.0%
|
31.6%
|
Justin Velander will take the mound for the Astros tonight against his former team, and he’s elite. Verlander has already thrown 7 quality starts in his 9 outings with a great WhIP, ERA and ERA metrics. He’s also has a 68/14 K/BB ratio. Opposing batters are hiting well under .200 against Verlander, but he is a little HR prone having given up 10.
Gregory Soto will be making his 2nd start for the Tigers. His first start was a disaster. Soto gave up 7 runs on 9 hits and 2 walks over 3 innings with 1 strikeout at the Twins.
Edge – NTN This looks like an even bigger mismatch than last night’s.
Bullpens
The Tigers have a decent pen, but the Astros pen is elite.
Edge – HTN
Offenses
Team
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
HTN
|
5.39
|
3
|
59.0
|
1
|
0.362
|
1
|
133
|
1
|
0.222
|
2
|
-4.3
|
27
|
9.5%
|
12
|
19.0%
|
2
|
11.3
|
1
|
DET
|
3.53
|
28
|
-37.6
|
25
|
0.292
|
25
|
81
|
25
|
0.150
|
25
|
-4.0
|
26
|
7.9%
|
21
|
26.2%
|
27
|
0.5
|
27
|
Edge – HTN big
Conclusion: This game should be an absolute blowout and that’s exactly how it’s priced. The HTN offense is prolific and the DET offense is pathetic. The Astros also have an elite bullpen. As for the two start=ing pitchers, Verlander’s elite even if he gives up a few HRs. from time to time and Sotot’s one start was an unmitigated disaster. I jumped on this one as soon as it became available this morning. The ML was already around -350, and even the RL was -216, so I grabbed the 1st 5 RL.
Pick – HTN 1st 5 RL -1 (-175 for 2 units)
STL @ ATL
Starting Pitchers
7:20
|
SP 2019
|
W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC%
|
SC %
|
GB %
|
STL
|
Wacha - R
|
(4-3)
|
(3/7)
|
(3/7)
|
1.65
|
5.35
|
5.46
|
4.91
|
5.16
|
8.51
|
5.35
|
1.70
|
0.265
|
0.305
|
74.2%
|
37.5%
|
13.4%
|
41.4%
|
ATL
|
Soroka - R
|
(3-2)
|
(5/5)
|
(0/5)
|
1.04
|
1.21
|
2.63
|
3.51
|
3.71
|
9.40
|
3.34
|
0.00
|
0.180
|
0.250
|
83.3%
|
30.0%
|
23.8%
|
59.0%
|
Michael Wacha has just 3 decent starts and 3 poor ones, including his last 2, this season. His WHIP is very high as are his ERA and ERA metrics. Wacha has given up 39 hits and also walked a whopping 22 batters in his 37 innings, no to mention the 7 HRs. That’s 59 base runners in 37 innings. No wonder his numbers suck. Wacha can’t ccontinue doing that and survice..
Mike Soroka has gone at least 5 innings in all 5 of his starts, and has yet to give up more than 1 earned run in any of them. Soroka has given up just 6 runs (4 earned) on 20 hits and 11 walks over 29.2 innings, with an impressive 31 Ks a 59% GB rate, and a 305 hard contact rate. By the way, he also has yet to surrender a HR. It’s no wonder that his WHIP, ERA and ERA are all superb. What’s not to like,
Edge - ATL
Bullpens
The Cards don’t have a great pen, but the Braves pen is really bad.
Edge – STL
Offenses
TEAM
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
STL
|
5.02
|
11
|
13.6
|
7
|
0.329
|
10
|
105
|
7
|
0.161
|
19
|
2.7
|
6
|
9.7%
|
9
|
21.6%
|
8
|
7.9
|
4
|
ATL
|
4.78
|
14
|
9.2
|
9
|
0.331
|
7
|
104
|
8
|
0.177
|
14
|
2.0
|
8
|
9.4%
|
14
|
21.3%
|
7
|
6.7
|
8
|
The are two very potent offenses
Edge – None
Conclusion:The offenses are both very good. The Cards bullpen may not be as good as it appears, but it is certainly better than the bullpen fiasco ithat the Braves have. As for the two starting pitchers, Wachas been pretty bad, and Soroka’s been very good. I bet this one this morning and the line has gone up about 20 cents. I would still be it at the current line. The Braves got blown out last night. Tinight they return the favor.
Picks – ATL 1st 5 ML (-135 for 2 units)
TEX @ KC
Starting Pitchers
8:15
|
SP 2019
|
W/L
|
QS
|
POOR
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
HR/9
|
AVG
|
BABIP
|
LOB%
|
HC
|
SC %
|
GB %
|
TEX
|
Minor - L
|
(3-5)
|
(5/8)
|
(2/8)
|
1.04
|
2.68
|
3.65
|
4.17
|
4.02
|
8.89
|
2.85
|
1.01
|
0.204
|
0.250
|
84.7%
|
37.0%
|
18.1%
|
42.0%
|
KC
|
Lopez - R
|
(1-7)
|
(2/8)
|
(6/8)
|
1.49
|
6.07
|
5.71
|
4.59
|
4.65
|
8.16
|
3.56
|
2.09
|
0.273
|
0.301
|
67.9%
|
39.9%
|
14.3%
|
39.8%
|
Mike Minor has started 8 games for the Rangers, with 5 quality starts, 2 poor ones and one mediocre one. That’s a pretty solid ratio. He’s given up more than 3 earned runs just twice. Minor’s WHIP and ERA are both excellent and his ERA metrics, while a run higher than his stellar ERA are still solid. That discrepancy can b explained by a BABIP that is 36 points lower than his career mark and a strand rate that is 11% higher. Some regression should be expected for both. Minor is striking out almost a batter per inning and limiting his hard contact. Minor’s big problem has always been health , and right now he’s healthy and pitching as well as he ever has.
Jorge Lopez did have two quality starts in his first three outings, but since then it’s been all down hill. Over his las5 starts, Lopez has given up 23 runs (22 earned) on 33 hits and 11 walks over 26 innings. That’s awful! Lopez’s WHIP, ERA and ERA metrics are all sky high. He’s walked at least 2 batters in 6 of his 78starts, and he’s surrendered 10 HRs. That not a profile that I’m even going to bet on. It is one that I’ll fade almost automatically.
Edge – TEX big
Bullpens
These are two crap bullpens
Edge - None
Offenses
TEAM
|
RPG
|
Rank
|
ORAA
|
Rank
|
wOBA
|
Rank
|
wRC+
|
Rank
|
ISO
|
Rank
|
BsR
|
Rank
|
BB%
|
Rank
|
K%
|
Rank
|
WAR
|
Rank
|
TEX
|
5.61
|
1
|
1.2
|
14
|
0.332
|
6
|
101
|
14
|
0.198
|
5
|
0.2
|
16
|
10.4%
|
5
|
25.7%
|
25
|
4.8
|
16
|
KC
|
4.54
|
19
|
-9.4
|
18
|
0.314
|
19
|
95
|
18
|
0.182
|
11
|
0.3
|
15
|
8.8%
|
17
|
22.9%
|
14
|
4.6
|
17
|
The Rangers have a prolific offense. The Royals have been better than expected, but are still very mediocre.
Edge TEX
Conclusion: The Rangers can hit, but that’s usually about all they do well. The Royals can be problematic if they get men on base. Both bullpens suck and neither can really be trusted. As for the two starting pitchers, like last night, this looks like a mismatch, except that tonight the Royals have the garbage on the hill. I bet this early because I expected the line to go up and it has, by about 10 cents.
Pick – TEX 1st 5 ML (-140 for 3 units)