As most of you guys already know I do use MODELS in helping me spot games to look at further. I have 2 of them for MLB and they both spit out numbers in totally separate ways. They are somewhat reliant on some things but not others. While I would never advice betting a game simply on what a Model says, they can be very helpful point you in the right direction. These will be Client Plays sometimes and the one's I post (1 Per Day) will be done only when Both Models agree that the play is worthy..
Here's a 2% Client Play for today with brief comments..
918 TAM / 917 BAL OVER 9.5 Pinnacle |
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Analysis: Key factors here are the fact that Both MLB Models have significantly higher numbers than what is out there, both starters below average performers, both Pens overworked and not performing well, a better than average HPU (Fagan) for the hitters calling the balls and strikes, In addition both teams combined near 12 RP9 verses right side throwers last 10 played. Tropicana Field on record as having it's best OVER season ever, already 25-16 O/U and 10-1 OVER last 11 here. High Percentage Play here according to what we have..
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