Play on Pittsburgh at 7:05 ET. Note that Lenny first released this play Monday, but it was rained out. With the pitching matchup remaining the same for Tuesday, the play stands and the analysis is the same. First things first and that's congrats must be in order for Rockies' lefty Jamie Moyer, who at 49 years old became the oldest pitcher in MLB history to record a victory when he went out & beat San Diego last Tuesday, limiting the Padres to just a pair of unearned runs off six hits in seven innings of work. Unfortunately for Moyer, he wasn't too successful his first two times out to the hill this season, particularly in his lone road start (at Houston). While the ERA (2.55) looks nice, take note that five unearned runs have been scored during Moyer's watch already this season w/ at least one per start. The Rockies still have managed to win four of five, including two of three at Milwaukee over the weekend, but we think they and Moyer are in for a letdown tonight in Pittsburgh. The Pirates had another poor offensive showing Sunday, losing 5-1 to St. Louis, one day removed from shutting the Cardinals out the previous day. An underdog in almost every game, the Pirates have slowly started to turn a nice profit over the last seven games w/ four wins as a dog of at least +125 or more. Tuesday still has them sending righty Kevin Corriea to the bump and he's looked great in two starts thus far, allowing just two runs in 12 IP. While the hitting has not been good in Pittsburgh, the staff ERA (2.63) is keeping the club in games. Correia is a big reason why (1.50 ERA). The Bucs won his last start, nine days ago, as he held the Giants to just three hits. No team has scored more than five runs on Pittsburgh pitching all season. Moyer has traditionally struggled here w/ a 6.92 ERA in eight starts while Correia shut the Rockies out in his lone start against them last year. The Pirates did turn a profit vs. lefties last season. Pittsburgh is our 3* MLB Situational Mismatch.

04/23/2012 8:45 PM