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sleepyj

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(At current odds)

2023-06-02T00:35:00.000Z 2023-06-02T00:35:00.000Z - NBA

513 Miami Heat
vs.
514 Denver Nuggets

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/01/2023

NBA Sides

Heat

93-104

+9

3

L

-330

Analysis
Ask yourself this question before you do anything with this series. Who is the best team in the NBA...Miami is not that team and neither is Denver. We can debate who the best team is, but odds would say that Boston in this game would be maybe a 4 point underdog for Game 1 and less in game 2. Boston 100% for sure would be a favorite at home by 3 or 4pts. Therefore, Boston is better than most. You can talk a few other teams, but the best team usually wins the title. So I think we have room for error with the title this season. I can make points against both teams, but what I can't argue against is what Miami did to Boston. They went into Boston and beat them 3 times and won the series. Nobody had that happening. The odds for Boston to win each series were very high and they went a total of 13 games in the first two rounds and 7 in the conference finals. I think we are seeing that Miami is a good team and they might have the role players we really didn't think could do much. Fact is, the Miami rill players are going to dictate this series. Miami was a #1 seed last year and failed in the playoff against Boston. That bothered them all offseason long. To me and nobody has said this..These two teams are playing two different seasons. Denver wanted to win the regular season and they did..Miami didn't care based on last year and secured an 8th seed..It feels like Miami knew they would be here and Denver wanted to make sure they were. Denver has had a much easier playoffs than Miami...Miami has taken out the better teams or at least teams that weren't hurt/old or newly put together teams. I give Denver a ton of credit for winning, but more importantly, winning impressive..Denver is good, but Miami on defense is going to give them issues. Bam Adebayo is mobile for a big man and I think that is going to hurt Jokic and his passing and his mobility. Tatum and Brown looked bad in the last series and much of that was because of Jimmy Butler. He will end up switching on guys, but he will draw Murray a lot of the time. If Murray is locked up or Jokic is having trouble with Bam, then this series starts to favor the Heat. This is a lot of points to lay and I'm not sure if I'm on the sharp or square side to be honest. Miami has been doubted all playoffs and winning on the road is what sets the tone..Don't forget what the Boston vs Miami Game 1 line was and Game 2...right around this number and they lost both games at home...This game stinks of the same thing..I don't like the 9 days off for Denver..You want to keep a routine..Miami is coming in tonight to win outright, 9 points doesn't make sense..Denver isn't the best team in the league. 
Pick Creation Time:
06/01/2023 6:00 AM
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