Saturday, March 18th / #541-542 9:10pm ET / 6:10pm PT
BOSTON CELTICS @ UTAH JAZZ
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 232.0 or less points
Yesterday’s Friday OVER of the DAY in Pro Basketball for us was in the non-conference game (OU line: 222.5) between the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES and CHICAGO BULLS. The game cashed for us in REGULATION play… it went into single OT… then double OT… and the final score was 139 to 131! Thanks to all sharps who joined us. On Saturday, we’re heading back to the NON-CON schedule for another OVER. This time it will be up in the high elevations as the UTAH JAZZ host the BOSTON CELTICS at 9:10pm ET. Obviously, the most important element of this games the fact that Boston just played LAST night… so they come into this one unrested. We have multiple situations out of our database that point to a HIGH-scoring outcome for unrested teams like the Celtics. Before I get into ‘em, let’s check out some pertinent TEAM trends when it comes to Boston. The CELTICS have been one of the league’s BEST ‘Over’ teams when it comes to no rest. They have gone 17-4-1 O/U in the last two seasons when playing with NO Rest. And that includes 7-1 O/U in NON-CONFERENCE play.
Next up, here’s two different NO REST queries from our database that are all pointing to an OVER this evening:
(1) 8-0 O/U last 2 years: All EASTERN CONFERENCE road favorites with NO REST off a double-digit road win (BOSTON beat Portland 126-112 yesterday) versus any non-conference opponent (UTAH)…
(2) 7-0 O/U so far THIS season: All NBA favs of -4 > pts with NO REST after scoring 125+ points on the ROAD the previous day (BOSTON)…
Tonight is one of the rarest and most unique REST situations we've seen in a while. We have an UNRESTED team taking on a foe that comes in with FOUR full days of rest (Utah’s last game was way back on Monday!). The database sample size is small, but significant nevertheless.
In the last 2 years NBA road teams (CELTICS vs JAZZ) in a ‘0/4+’ REST situation (NO rest vs 4 or more days rest) have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U…
As mentioned above, Utah’s last game was down here in South Florida way back on Monday night. So they come in very well rested.
In the last 4 years, NBA home underdogs of > 2 points with 4 or MORE days of REST have gone an amazing 17-2 O/U (JAZZ)…
Let’s remove the REST situation from our query, and incorporate the NON-CONFERENCE angle instead.
So far THIS season, EASTERN CONFERENCE road favs of -3 > pts (BOSTON) have gone an almost perfect 9-1 O/U versus any WESTERN CONFERENCE opponent off a road loss (UTAH)…
The host Jazz are off a long 6-game road trip. Of special note is the fact that they went a PERFECT 5-0-1 O/U during that 6-game road trip. So Utah is trending the right way for us OVER bettors. And not only that, but they covered the spread in those LAST FOUR road games to boot.
6-0 O/U since November: All NBA home underdogs off 4 or more ATS WINS in a row (UTAH)…
Our final query is a variation of that last one.
35-12-1 O/U last three years: All NBA home teams off 3 out more ROAD ATS wins in a row (JAZZ). The numbers improve to 9–1-1 O/U since December of this season when the OU line is < 238.0 points.