“Big Dance Underdog GOY”
3* on Drake +3 (bh pt)
I really like Drake to give this Canes team all they want tonight. Drake is white hot winning 13 of their L/14 games heading into the Tournament, including a 26 point blowout win over Bradley in their conference title game. This team is fully healthy and peeking at the perfect time. The Canes best player is injured Omier (knee) and didn’t play their last game vs Duke. He’s questionable for tonight & he probably gives his knee a go tonight (but home impactful can/will he be)? Whether he plays or not doesn’t matter to me much as he clearly won’t be anywhere near 100%. We have the better defensive club here with Drake and we have the team that takes better care of the ball in Drake. Both teams are very good from 3-pt land & the free throw line. What I love is the definite edge we have on the ever important rebounds with Drake (and a massive edge if Omier doesn’t play). Miami is (0-4 ATS L/4) games. Miami is (1-4 ATS L/5) neutral site games. Drake is (5-0-1 ATS L/6) games at a neutral site. Drake is (5-1 ATS L/6) games vs teams with a winning % above .600. The bottom line for me here as I feel very strong Drake is a very live under dog, and I have played a portion of my wager on the Drake money line.