2* play at -4, 1* play -4.5, strong lean at -5
How can there be such a difference for a mere 1.5 points?
Look at the Math:
Indiana -5 53%
Indiana -4.5 55%
Indiana -4 57%
Indiana -3.5 59%
Many will tell you "aok to play games 1.5 points worse"
And most of the time, they are totally wrong. The only way indiana -5 has any reak value is if Indiana -3.5 was a 60% bet, and 60% bets simply are not out there on Sides very often at all.......