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Pro Pick From
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2023-01-25T00:40:00.000Z 2023-01-25T00:40:00.000Z - NBA

547 Cleveland Cavaliers
vs.
548 New York Knicks

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/24/2023

NBA Totals

OV CLE/NY

103-105

220½

2

L

-220

Analysis
Tuesday, Jan. 24th / 7:40pm ET / 4:40pm PT 
#547-548 
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ NEW YORK KNICKS 
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 221.0 or less points 

Last night, we went LOW in what many thought would be an extremely high-scoring game (Grizzlies @ Kings on the west coast). Thanks to a low-scoring 4th quarter, we came away with another win by double digits… and we thank all sharps who joined us. The documented record in NBA OU Plays for our service is now at 82% for the season (9-2 ATS). On Tuesday, we’re once again going ‘against the flow’ like we did last night. Only in this case, it’s literally AND figuratively 180 degrees in the opposite direction. Instead of going LATE-NIGHT and playing the very last game of the schedule out on the ‘left coast’… we’re heading EAST tonight, with one of the earliest games on the Tuesday schedule. And in a game, in which most normal bettors would probably be thinking about the UNDER. That would be the CAVALIERS @ KNICKS game at 7:40pm ET. In a pretty normal situation, we would probably agree with those sharp UNDER bettors. Particularly if this one were played in Cleveland. But with both teams trending higher on offense AND on defense as of late, we like what now looks to be some VALUE on the OVER. Let’s not forget that we’re talking about a HISTORIC season thus far. The average of 228.4 combined PPG so far in the 2022/2023 season is already +7.2 ppg higher than last year (221.2)… +28.2 ppg HIGHER than the average back in 2014/2015 (200.0)! Based on this season’s averages, heres each team’s individual numbers: Cleveland has an offensive rating of 114.2 and a defensive rating of 109.8. New York has an offensive rating of 115.0 and a defensive rating of 113.2. But let’s now look at the last week or two of play. LAST 6 games: Cleveland 116.3 and 114.1… New York 122.0 and 126.7. Cleveland’s numbers are UP despite the fact that Donovan Mitchell has been out with an injury. But look who should be BACK tonight! And on the flip side, New work is just a completely different team (worse defense and better offense) when big man Mitchell Robinson is out of the lineup. And he’ll STILL be out anther week or two. So this next week or two will be the ideal time period to consider New York OVERS… 

Leading the way in terms of our database queries is a first look at tonight’s rest situation. Cleveland’s last game was on Saturday as they beat the Bucks (2 days of rest) while New York played Toronto on Sunday (one day of rest). When we query this rest situation together, we get: 12-1-1 O/U so far THIS season: All NBA road favorites in a ‘2/1’ REST situation (CAVALIERS @ KNICKS), when the OU line is LESS than (<) 235.0 points… 

This has been a solid Day of the Week for OVERS as of late when the OU line is in the mid-to-LOW range (like tonight). Since Christmas, NBA games on TUESDAYS have gone 9-1 O/U when the OU line is less than 226.0 points (CAVALIERS @ KNICKS)… 

New York has already gone OVER at a 67% clip in the last five weeks of play in the NBA, That includes a PERFECT 5-0 O/U since Christmas as underdogs of +2 or more points. They’ve already gone 2-0 O/U in the two games that Mitchell Robinson missed. Those games were a 139-124 loss to Atlanta and a 125-116 loss to Toronto. 9-1-1 O/U since 2014: All Eastern Conference non-division home teams off back-to-back ROAD losses of 8 or greater points each that also went OVER the Total (KNICKS)… 

As mentioned above, Cleveland’s off a big win over division rival Milwaukee in their last game. (1) 9-0 O/U since November: All NBA teams off a SUATS home win (and an UNDER against a > .600 opponent (CAVALIERS), when the OU line is < 239.0 points… 

Already THIS season, CENTRAL DIVISION teams who just BEAT the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game (CAVS) have gone a perfect 4-0 O/U…
Pick Creation Time:
01/24/2023 9:40 AM
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