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Pro Pick From
Dave Essler

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(At current odds)

2023-01-22T23:30:00.000Z 2023-01-22T23:30:00.000Z - NFL

317 Dallas Cowboys
vs.
318 San Francisco 49ers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/22/2023

NFL Sides

Cowboys

12-19

+4

3

L

-330

Analysis

In a million years I didn’t see this coming. I am likely the least affected by recency bias bettors there is.  I’ve been high on San Fran all season, and down on the Cowboys, but here we are and it’s one game. I have a ton of love for Brock Purdy, but the Cowboy defense is far and away the best he’s going to face. They are ranked only behind the Niners themselves in total DVOA. I am well aware that San Fran has had one close game in over two months, but that works in my favor. They, or Purdy, haven’t had to face any adversity. Let us see the reaction if and when they do. Knowing SF hasn’t lost since Moses wore short pants, the Cowboys don’t have a bad loss this season, aside from the understandable debacle in week 18 at Washington. So maybe America’s team and the bettors darling Cowboys are the ones that are undervalued here. They, nor anyone else, runs against the Niners. In fact, there have been 270 games this season where someone has rushed for 70+ yards and San Fran has allowed none of them. Dallas has two backs that can catch the ball, Dalton Shultz, Michael Gallup, and even TY Hilton. If that doesn’t work, there’s Cee Dee Lamb just in case. Dallas WILL be able to move the ball. Seattle kept their game close until HT, Dallas WILL keep it close the entire game. They lost to SF in the playoffs at home last year, and they may return the favor to the Niners Sunday. And what would the last game of the weekend be without late game drama, give me Dallas.


Pick Creation Time:
01/17/2023 2:41 PM
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