KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS 2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
Optimum OU line: 53.0 or less points
—————
Our last game takes us toThe Buckeye State for the late-afternoon affair between the CHIEFS and BENGALS. We cashed a nice win on the UNDER in last week’s Kansas City home game against the Rams. But this one is a different story. We always look to Go LOW when KC is at home hosting a BAD team. But we almost ALWAYS consider the OVER when they are on the ROAD taking on other winning teams. KC home: 1-5 O/U TY (45.2)… KC away: 4-1 O/U TY (59.6)… In fact, Kansas City’s last nine road games have seen 57 pts, 67 pts, 72 pts, 37 pts, 65 pts, 54 pts, 65 pts, 63 pts, and 55 pts!… As mentioned above, KC beat the Rams 26-10 at home last week. 12-1 O/U since 2015: All GAME 7 > non-division road favorites of < 6 pts off a home WIN in which they scored 25 > pts and allowed 10 < pts (CHIEFS), when the OU Line is > 43 points…. Next up, we look at AFC Conference games with HIGH Over / Under lines in the 2nd half of the season (like this one). 17-3-1 O/U since 2017: All GAME 8 > AFC road favs of < 10 pts (CHIEFS) vs any AFC opponent (BENGALS), when the OU line is a HIGH 49 or more points. In the last three years, these games have averaged a whopping 61.5 ppg!… On the flip side, Cincinnati has scored 20 pts, 37 pts, and 42 pts in their last three games. 7-1-1 O/U since 2013: All NFL underdogs who scored 20 > pts, 35 > pts, and 35 > pts in each of their last three games (BENGALS)... Its quite the Role Reversal for Cincinnati this week. They go from road FAVS (last week) to home DOGS (this week). This is always a favorable OVER situation. 16-3 O/U since 2017 / 9-1 O/U L2Y: All non-division home DOGS off a SU road FAV win in their previous game (CINCY)… A final query looks at these two specific DIVISIONS. 7-0 O/U last 2 years: All AFC NORTH Division underdogs (BENGALS) vs any AFC WEST Division opponent (CHIEFS). when the OU line is > 44 points. These games have averaged 67.0 combined PPG!