Baltimore Ravens -6.5
The Browns have allowed 6.1 YPP and 8.4 YPA to the Patriots last week, led by Bailey Zappe. The week before they got gashed by the previously non-existent Chargers rushing attack, allowing 7.0 YPR and 238 rushing yards. Prior to that they got gashed by the Falcons run-game, which averaged 5.8 YPR and put up 2020 rushing yards against them. Now they’ll be going up against a team whose identity is to run the ball, while also has a dynamo at QB in Lamar Jackson. I just don’t see the Browns with Brissett at the helm keeping up here. Furthermore, Cleveland will be without their top CB as Denzel Ward is out, making it even easier for Baltimore to move the ball in this one. Ravens blew big leads against Miami and Buffalo at home, but both of those are dynamic offensive teams. Cleveland has overachieved so far this season, but they’re nowhere near in terms of offensive quality. I see a comfortable Ravens win in this one.