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2022-07-01T19:07:00.000Z 2022-07-01T19:07:00.000Z - MLB

913 Tampa Bay Rays
vs.
914 Toronto Blue Jays

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/01/2022

MLB Sides

Rays

2-9

+120

2

L

-200

Analysis
Friday, July 1st / 3:07pm ET (12:07pm PT) / #913 
Tampa Bay Rays w/ Kluber @ Toronto Blue Jays w/ Berrios 
2** Play on: TAMPA BAY RAYS 
*BOX (specify) both starting pitchers 

After a pass on Thursday, we’re back on Friday to extend the current winning streak to five games in a row. We’ll pass on the Over / Unders… and instead focus out attention one of the better valued UNDERDOGS on the Friday schedule. That will be North of the Border in Game Two of the Rays / Blue Jays series. *PLEASE take note of the EARLY start time in Toronto (3:07pm ET / 12:07pm PT). Whenever we see a chance to bet on Corey Kluber when priced as a (rare) underdog, we are gonna seriously consider it. And that will be this afternoon as Tampa is currently getting back about +118 to +125 in their game vs the Blue Jays. If this was the Kluber who was struggling back in early May, then we would probably pass. But check out what he has done after he got ROCKED by the Angels on May 10th (in which he allowed 8 runs / 11 hits in just 3 innings pitched). That dismal performance must have unblocked something in Kluber. Because since then, he’s allowed 2 or LESS earned runs in SEVEN of his last eight starts. His ERA during that two-month time frame has been just 2.70. Those are the Kluber-type numbers that he was showing as a pitcher for the Yankees and Indians the last 4-5 years. He’s also allowed only 5 total home runs in that same time span (covering 44 innings). To top it all off, Kluber’s ‘splits’ in DAY vs NIGHT comparisons help us to seal the deal. In his night starts this year, his ERA has been an UGKY 5.23. But in his DAYTIME starts, he’s regained his Cy Young form (2.14 ERA). When we look at his counterpart’s pretty dismal numbers, some might even question while Toronto is even favored in this game at all. That’s because the Jays are turning to right-hander Jose Berrios for the start in this afternoon’s Game Two. For a guy who’s won more than double the amount of games that he has lost this year… Berrio’s YTD ERA of almost 6.00 is pretty horrific. The fact that he’s off his WORST TWO starts of the season put him in prime ‘play against’ territory. It’s really taking a turn for the worse for this Toronto starter. His last two starts have been for a combined 6.6 innings… with a whopping 20 HITS and WALKS allowed… FIVE home runs allowed… and 14 earned runs allowed (that’s an ERA of 18.9!). So we already know that Berrios is not ling for this world in this afternoon’s start. Blue Jays fans should then be scared of what comes next. Following Berrios will be the ultimate ‘fade worthy’ bullpen. Since May 1st (last 2 months), the Blue Jays relief pitching ranks #23 in ERA… #25 in batting average allowed… #25 in slugging percentage allowed… and #25 in wOBA. Allowing multiple runs has been a big problem for this pitching staff recently as opponents are averaging 5.75 runs scored over Toronto’s last 11 games.
Pick Creation Time:
07/01/2022 8:31 AM
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