I'm going to ride the rejuvenated two-time defending Stanley Cup champion Lightning at home at this price after their huge confidence-building, 6-2, home win against Colorado in Game 3 of the Cup Finals. 

Tampa Bay has won eight consecutive home games during these Stanley Cup playoffs. The Lightning came back from series deficits against the Maple Leafs and Rangers. They have faced stronger competition during the playoffs than Colorado - and proven themselves. 

Nikita Kucherov is expected to play. The Lightning also hold a monster goalie edge with Andrei Vasilevskiy against the Avalanche's sub-par goalies Darcy Kuemper, who was pulled during Game 3 for his shoddy performance, and Pavel Francouz.