3* on BRAVES/GIANTS OVER 8.5
We have a very nice weather pattern for offense again tonight. We saw last night's 12-10 game in these same exact weather/temp/wind conditions. I certainly do not expect 22 runs tonight, I do feel very strongly that both clubs evetually plate 4 runs & when that happens, we cash our Over bet. We simply have two red hot offenses & we have them in their best hitting posture tonight. The Braves against LH pitching (#1 in the N.L. vs LH in .OPS .821 & wRC+ 126). The SFG are more potent vs RH as they have all of their strong LH sticks in the lineup vs RH starters. Rodon has been much better when he pitches at home and has had 2 road clunkers this season. The Braves send out Morton and he's coming off his best start of the season 7 shutout innings over a weak Cubs club (who really struggle vs RH). Before that start Morton had been getting smacked around. He gave up 4 ER in all 4 of his prior starts and he's really had a tough season. Both SP have very hot and tough/deep lineups to deal with tonight in a park that is going to be playing very live. Both pens worked and both pens can be gotten too. I simply see way too many ways that both teams eventually get to 4 runs & we cash in our Over 8.5 bet.