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Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2022-05-28T00:40:00.000Z 2022-05-28T00:40:00.000Z - NBA

505 Miami Heat
vs.
506 Boston Celtics

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

05/27/2022

NBA Sides

Heat

111-103

+9-115

3

W

300

Analysis
I'm playing on MIAMI. It's true that the Celtics have looked very good in their three victories. The #1 seed isn't going to down without a fight though. The Heat have already show that they can win here. They won Game 3 by a score of 109-103. They're still 20-11-1 ATS their last 32 in the revenge role and 12-6 ATS when off a double-digit loss. Boston's previous big wins have led to some extra line value. Keep in mind that we're working with more points now than at anytime in the series. Speaking of points, note that Miami is 19-8-1 ATS its last 28, in the underdog role. The last time that the Heat were off b2b losses, they responded by winning their next game by 35 points. I'm not expecting another 35-point blowout tonight but I AM expecting them to bounce back with their best effort, en route to AT LEAST the 'cover.' 

Pick Creation Time:
05/27/2022 3:40 AM
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