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Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2022-05-26T23:20:00.000Z 2022-05-26T23:20:00.000Z - MLB

905 Philadelphia Phillies
vs.
906 Atlanta Braves

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

05/26/2022

MLB Run Lines

Phillies

4-1

+1½-182

2

W

200

Analysis
I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the run-line (+1.5 runs) The Phillies gave yesterday's game away. With Nola on the mound, I expect them to bounce back with a much better effort. As suggested by his stellar 0.994 WHIP, Nola has pitched far better than his record suggests. His last two starts both came against the Dodgers, which is always tough. Nola struck out 17 in 12 1/3 combined innings. He's made 10 starts, dating back to the last time which he faced the Braves. In all 10 cases, he allowed four or fewer earned runs. He went six or more innings in six of those, too. While I do expect the Phillies to win this game "outright," it should be mentioned that four of Nola's last six starts have resulted in a 1-run losses. Note that it appears likely that Acuna will be out for Atlanta. The Braves won Wright's last start by one run, after losing his previous three starts. He's 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA in three appearances, two starts, vs. the Phillies. Expect AT LEAST another "run-line cover." 
Pick Creation Time:
05/26/2022 4:08 AM
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