Noah Syndergaard is on the comeback trail after missing most of the last two seasons due to Tommy John elbow surgery.
Syndergaard was very good before his injury and early results this season have been mostly positive. The righthander had a 2.45 ERA through his first five starts. However, Syndergaard couldn't get out of the first inning in his last start. That occurred on May 16 against these same Rangers. Texas got to him for four earned runs on four hits and two walks. It was Syndergaard's shortest stint of his big league career.
Kudos to the Rangers for knocking Syndergaard out so early. But I just see that as a hiccup in his comeback. Syndergaard beat the Rangers on April 16 holding them to two runs on five hits in six innings. I see a highly motivated Syndergaard getting his revenge on the Rangers for his last performance. He beat them before - he'll beat them again.
Texas has lost 50 of its past 68 road games against a righty starter.
The Angels historically play much better at home. That's the case again this season as they are 14-8 in Anaheim. Texas has a losing road record. The Rangers traditionally struggle, too, in Anaheim losing 19 of their past 27 road games to the Angels.
Dane Dunning is the Rangers' scheduled starter. He's been a better home pitcher. His road ERA is 4.20. Career-wise Dunning is 1-2 with a 6.08 ERA in five starts versus the Angels.
Normally I don't recommend such a high lay price. But I believe in Syndergaard enough that I made this line 30-cents higher so I see value on the favorite.