Friday, May 20th / 9:00pm ET / 6:00pm PT / #647-648 / Game Two / Western Conference Finals Dallas Mavericks @ Golden State Warriors
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
We’re doing DOUBLE-DUTY on Friday Night in the NBA Playoffs, as the Western Conference Finals (Round 3) moves to Game Two. First off, we’re on the OVER in tonight’s game. And despite the fact that Wednesday’s Game One went UNDER, let’s not forget that these two teams have been involved in many recent shootouts versus each other (12-5 O/U last 17 Dallas vs Golden State games). That includes 235 total points scored in the last regular-season meeting between these two. And when it comes to INDIVIDUAL Team Trends, it looks pretty good for us tonight. That’s because the WARRIORS have gone a PERFECT 10-0 O/U (last 6 years) in ALL Playoff GAME TWOS at home. And the MAVERICKS have gone 80% OVER the Total (8-2 O/U) in Playoff GAME TWOS when the OU line is 195 or more points And that includes a PERFECT 4-0 O/U in the last three seasons.
Since we’re on the topic of Playoff GAME TWO’s, let’s run one multiple database queries.
(1) 13-2 O/U since 2017: All Playoff GAME TWO home favs of > 4 pts (WARRIORS are -6), when the OU line is in the range of 202 to 216 points…
(2) 10-2 O/U since 2017: All Playoff GAME TWO Western Conference favs off a SU Game One WIN that also went UNDER the Total (WARRIORS vs MAVS)…
(3) 6-0 O/U Last 6 years: All Playoff GAME TWO road teams off a SU loss in Game One… AND a SU Game Seven WIN in their previous series (MAVERICKS).
So the host Warriors are off multiple HOME Playoff wins in a row.. and multiple HOME ‘Unders’ in a row.
(4) 15-3 O/U since 1991: All Playoff favorites of -4 or more points off back-to-back Playoff home WINS… that BOTH went Under the Total (WARRIORS), when the OU line is 185 or more points.
Yes, we’re aware that Dallas was held to only 87 points in Wednesday’s Game One. With that said however,
(5) NBA playoff road dogs of < 8 points (MAVERICKS) have gone 11-2 O/U since 2012 AFTER scoring LESS than (<) 88 points on the road on their last Playoff game.
The clincher (6): Playoff ROAD teams have gone 11-1 O/U since 1995 off a Playoff DD ATS loss, and BB Playoff DD ATS wins in their last three games (DALLAS), when the OU line is > 165 points.