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Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2022-05-13T23:45:00.000Z 2022-05-13T23:45:00.000Z - NBA

515 Boston Celtics
vs.
516 Milwaukee Bucks

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

05/13/2022

NBA Money Lines

Bucks

95-108

-120

3

L

-360

Analysis
I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. (ML) Homecourt hasn't meant much in this series of late. I expect that to change this evening. While they lost here last game, the Bucks are still 30-16 here. The Celtics, on the other hand, are 26-19 on the road. Going back further finds Boston at 61-55 on the road and Milwaukee at 94-30 at home. Indeed, homecourt matters. It's true that the Bucks haven't fared well when leading in this series. However, they're still 9-4 SU (8-5 ATS) the last 13 times that they were leading in a series. Now, they have a chance to close the deal at home. Remember, the Bucks are still the champs. They know how to win these games. Giannis noted: "It's great to go back home and feel good about ourselves, but the job is not done." Tonight, he finishes the job. The Celtics are now an impressive 6-0 ATS their last seven visits here. However, the Bucks are still 4-2 SU in those games. With two of those four wins having come by a single bucket, I'm electing to lay the very short price on the money-line. 
Pick Creation Time:
05/13/2022 4:45 AM
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