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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2022-05-08T23:10:00.000Z 2022-05-08T23:10:00.000Z - NHL

25 Toronto Maple Leafs
vs.
26 Tampa Bay Lightning

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

05/08/2022

NHL Sides

Tampa Bay

7-3

-115

3

W

300

Analysis
During the past three postseasons, Tampa Bay has gone 16-0 following a playoff loss. That resiliency has been instrumental in the Lighting winning the Stanley Cup the past two years.

I see that streak continuing with the Lightning hosting the Maple Leafs Sunday. 

Toronto opened the series with a 5-0 victory. The Lightning were flat that game. They came back to even the series with a 5-3 win on Wednesday, but then lost at home, 5-2, in Game 3 this past Friday. Tampa Bay couldn't overcome a 3-0 deficit. 

The Lightning did outplay the Maple Leafs for much of the last two periods, especially the third period, but the damage had been done. Tampa Bay's core, which has been together for around a decade and used to playoff highs and lows, should rebound like they always have. 

Toronto goalie Jack Campbell has been playing above his talent level. I can see a drop-off in his play with this game in Tampa. Having home ice also gives the Lightning the last line change. This is especially crucial for Tampa coach Jon Cooper in matching up against the Maple Leafs' upper tier line featuring superstar Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner. 
Pick Creation Time:
05/07/2022 8:09 PM
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