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Pro Pick From
Stephen Nover

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(At current odds)

2021-10-19T00:15:00.000Z 2021-10-19T00:15:00.000Z - NFL

275 Buffalo Bills
vs.
276 Tennessee Titans

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/18/2021

NFL Sides

Bills

31-34

-5½

3

L

-330

Analysis
Don't overthink this one. The Titans are worse than their 3-2 record. If the Bills don't pass the eye test of being the best team in the NFL right now following their road victory against the Chiefs they certainly pass the statistical test. Buffalo entered this week leading the NFL in scoring at 34.4 points per game while giving up the fewest points at 12.8. 

The Titans' bottom 10 defense isn't going to be able to stop mobile Josh Allen, who has the luxury of excellent play-calling from offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, after not slowing down rookies Trevor Lawrence and Zach Wilson the past two weeks. 

Derrick Henry continues to be the best running back in the NFL. Henry's usefulness, though, is greatly reduced if the Titans have to play from behind as I anticipate. The Bills' pass rush is much improved and Ryan Tanneheill has been sacked a league-high 20 times. 

The Bills have won by double-digits in 10 of their last 11 regular season games. 

Any talk of a Bills' letdown after their great win against Kansas City last week is crazy. Not only is this a Monday night game, but Buffalo has revenge for a 42-16 loss to Tennessee last year. 

(Editor's note: For purchasing Stephen Nover's Triple Star NFL Monday Night Game of the Year you receive 30 percent off any of Stephen's Tuesday picks and packages. Check your shopping account for your 30 percent discount, available to use by Monday evening.) 
Pick Creation Time:
10/17/2021 4:22 PM
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