UFC is good, but they aren’t as good as the Ole Miss team that smashed Louisville and clouded the narrative on what they are. This is their first big home game, and UCF is not going to be what they were before under Malzahn. We saw some uneven moments in the first game with Boise, and it may take some time for UCF to really figure out what their offense actually is. I expect them to run the ball more than they have in the past, and Louisville wants to control the ball as well. I think this game is lower scoring than the line would indicate, making that full 7 more valuable.