I'm playing on MIAMI. The Reds cooled off the Pirates yesterday, a 1-0 Cincinnati win in the finale of that series. The Marlins had the day off. That should work in Miami's favor here. Fresh off getting blanked and seeing their positive momentum come to an end, the Pirates go from playing spoiler against a division rival to facing a non-playoff team from outside their division. That sets them up for a letdown here. In addition to having the venue and schedule in their favor, the Marlins should have a significant edge on the mound. Hernandez doesn't go deep into games but he's solid when he's in there. He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every start, except one, this season. (He allowed four in that one.) When he faced the Pirates earlier, Hernandez allowed one run, on only three hits, through five complete. He struck out six without walking a batter. While Hernandez didn't get much for run support that day, the Marlins should provide him with plenty of support in this one. Crowe has a 9.75 ERA and 1.917 WHIP his past three starts. Last time on the road, he served up three home runs in three innings. In 10 road starts this season, he's got a 6.95 ERA. The Marlins also have a big edge in the bullpen department; Miami relievers have a combined 3.05 ERA at home while Pirate relievers have an ERA above five on the road. Miami rolls.