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Pro Pick From
VegasButcher

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(At current odds)

2021-09-13T00:20:00.000Z 2021-09-13T00:20:00.000Z - NFL

479 Chicago Bears
vs.
480 Los Angeles Rams

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

09/12/2021

NFL Sides

Bears

14-34

+7½

3

L

-330

Analysis

Chicago Bears +7.5

With 83% of all the wagers coming in on the Rams, this line hasn’t moved much at all.  Clearly the public is over-selling this Rams team and under-selling the Bears.  While Stafford is an improvement over Goff (many starters would be), I’m not sure he makes Rams an automatic Super Bowl contender like many pundits are expecting.  The run-game is not going to be as dynamic without Akers (lost to ACL in the offseason) and the defense could decline a bit with the departure of Brandon Staley and a new defensive coordinator in place.  Furthermore, for this matchup, there probably isn’t a team in the league that is more familiar with Stafford than the Bears, having faced off against him twice per year for his first 12 years with the Lions.  Expect this top-10 Bears defensive unit to be well prepared for the matchup.  Of course, keeping this game close lies with the Bears’ offense.  People forget that Dalton has been a league-average QB, and last year isn’t indicative of his ability (he was forced into action when Dak Prescott got hurt and had no off-season with the Cowboys due to the virus).  He should play better to start out the year.  This is the 4th straight meeting between these two teams, with Rams winning the previous three by an average of 11 points (by 9, by 10, and by 14).  You have to believe that at some point Nagy will figure out how to keep it close, especially while facing a QB he’s very familiar with. 

Pick Creation Time:
09/11/2021 8:39 PM
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