There's a lot going on here but the fact is neither of the 2 starting QB's are what I consider to be Top 10 and not even close actually. I know that some people are expecting Tua to have a good season and he might very well do that but offenses will struggle early as they almost all do and especially those that don't have the weapons to perform. These two squads were not the greatest D teams in the league last season but much of that is because they had terrible offenses. Miami ranked 23 and New England #27 for O. They both have made improvements on both sides of the ball but not enough on the O side to make a difference. We know that the former D Coordinator Flores now has that job for the Dolphins and he has instilled a solid new hard nose approach to playing defense. Mac Jones likely to be just a manager so to speak as Coach Bill is not going to let him run loose on his own end. This is a Division Rival and those games tend to be lower scoring. Last season's games finished with 34 and 33 Points. We don't see that trend reversing itself. You can play down to 42.5 though.(Adjusted)
This number is now 44.5 to 45 and still a 3* Play. Remember it is only a play at 42.5 or better.