I have little doubt the Brewers are going to beat the Pirates like they have in 28 of the previous 39 meetings. The key question is can Milwaukee win by more than one run? I certainly believe so in a pitching matchup of Freddy Peralta versus Chad Kuhl.
The Brewers have outscored the Pirates by 13 runs in winning the first two games of this series. Pittsburgh has lost by more than one run during 16 of its last 17 losses.
Milwaukee has gotten stronger acquiring Eduardo Escobar, while the Pirates got weaker, trading All-Star Adam Frazier to the Padres.
Peralta is one of the most effective pitchers in the National League with a 2.29 ERA and 140 strikeouts in just 102 innings. He's backed by a healthy and upper tier bullpen.
Kuhl is a bottom-of-the-rotation starter with a 4.38 ERA. He has a 8.64 ERA in two starts against the Brewers this season.