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Pro Pick From
Greg Shaker

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(At current odds)

2021-07-29T23:10:00.000Z 2021-07-29T23:10:00.000Z - MLB

967 Baltimore Orioles
vs.
968 Detroit Tigers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/29/2021

MLB Totals

UN BAL/DET

6-2

10

3

W

300

Analysis
Casey Mize, the Detroit starter has been very good this season. His last effort not so good due to a poor 5th inning verses KC but prior to that he has allowed 3 or fewer runs in his last 14 starts dating back all the way to April 29. He keeps the ball in the park and he does not allow many to reach base via the BB. These are the reasons his games are 12-5 UNDER this season. He will be on a pitch count and not likely go past 5 innings but we do think he will bounce back nicely. But the Detroit Pen has been performing well just as the Tigers are overall. For that matter the O's Pen has been doing the same over the last 10 games. Baltimore counters with Wells who has just the one start and he did OK. Nothing special but OK. He has faced 3 pretty good offensive teams in his 3 appearances this season. The O's offense has not been very good facing RHP on the Road this season plating right at 3.5 RP9. Both Models have this number lower than what Odds Makers have given us and there are other reasons to like this one UNDER. We do for 3* and 9.5 or better. At this writing 10 is painted at 90% of all books. 
Pick Creation Time:
07/29/2021 8:45 AM
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