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PLAY: CINCINNATI REDS (Day Game)
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
The Reds' Castillo was TERRIBLE early in the year, but he has been GREAT his last 10 starts, and the Reds are still in the race; they are a "buy" team.
The Cubs are fading, and they are a team to fade the rest of the year.
Note, I like Reds 1st 5 as well.........so let's play
REDS game 2 stars
ADD REDS 1 star, 1st 5 innings, -132
NOTE ON PRESEASON NFL WEEK 1:
(Next Week is HOF week, Week 0)
My research indicated the oddsmakers are dealing the Totals in these games too low.
IN 2018 and 2019 and this year the average total dealt was 36. Actual scoring in 2018 and 2019 was just over 41.5 points, with OVERS going 19-11 ATS (there were a few pushes). I see no reason to expect this trend to not continue this year.
I think there is value on the overs in most games right now, but I selectively fired on some, with 1 being my Preseason TOTAL OF THE YEAR.
On Straight Outta Vegas I gave out 3 plays:
103 Wash/NE OVER 34
113 Mia/CHIC OVER 34
114 Den/Min OVER 34
All 3 are starting to move..........