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Pro Pick From
Dave Essler

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(At current odds)

2021-06-19T01:38:00.000Z 2021-06-19T01:38:00.000Z - MLB

975 Detroit Tigers
vs.
976 LA Angels

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/18/2021

MLB Totals

OV DET/LAA

3-11

9-125

3

W

300

Analysis
Except for taking this before the vig moved, I love this. I liked it, then when the bullpens were used last last night I loved it. First off, I almost always look for runs when Alex Cobb pitches. He can be a ground ball pitcher, but when he misses it's up and gone. He only lasted three innings at Arizona and the prior start wasn't great, giving up five ER's. He also hasn't been "regular" if you will, pitching of anywhere from 5-7 days rest, so that also could be an issue. Obviously the Angels pen was hit last night but that's not unusual since they're pen ERA the last week is nearing six. So, the Tigers get their four runs. Now to Urena. He's allowed three or more runs in four of his last five starts, four or more in three of them, translating to an ERA in his last seven starts of 6.40.  And of course it goes without saying how poorly the Tigers' pen has been this season. Detroit has been scoring, for them, plating four or more in their last four games, all on the road. Of course in LA we have clear skies, little humidity, and a slight helping breeze to CF - so, I don't see how both teams don't get four which makes this a push at the absolute worst.
Pick Creation Time:
06/17/2021 6:26 PM
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