Mil/Brook, was there enough of a line adjustment?
Game 1: Brook was -4.
With
Zig-Zag, we would expect a line of Brook -3.
Then we have
to adjust for Harden. Harden is worth 4.0
points to Brooklyn. (He is worth even
more if Durant is out).
So that
would have Brooklyn be +1 for this game.
Given that,
Mil +1.5 has some clear value (Line should be Mil -1).
Den/Phx
Phx is -4.5 game 1, -190 ML
Given this,
Phx -200 for the Series has some value, strong lean Phx Series
Phx is the
clear cut better team (I have by 3 points).
Phx 6.5, Den
3.5 in my power ratings.
Playoff Theme:
PARITY! No team has even a 2/3 chance to win the next
series! Contrast that with some prior
years, where by example Golden State has a 2/3 chance TO WIN THE TITLE vs. the Field.
Mil/Brook: Nets -210/Mil 180
Atl/Phil: Atl
-110/PHIL -110
Den/PHX: Den 170/PHX -200
La/UT: La 115/UTAH -135
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