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Pro Pick From
Fezzik

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(At current odds)

2021-06-07T23:50:00.000Z 2021-06-07T23:50:00.000Z - NBA

581 Milwaukee Bucks
vs.
582 Brooklyn Nets

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

06/07/2021

NBA Sides

Bucks

86-125

+1½

2

L

-220

Analysis

Mil/Brook, was there enough of a line adjustment?

Game 1:  Brook was -4.

With Zig-Zag, we would expect a line of Brook -3.

Then we have to adjust for Harden.  Harden is worth 4.0 points to Brooklyn.    (He is worth even more if Durant is out).

So that would have Brooklyn be +1 for this game.

Given that, Mil +1.5 has some clear value (Line should be Mil -1).

Den/Phx

Phx  is -4.5 game 1, -190 ML

Given this, Phx -200 for the Series has some value, strong lean Phx Series

Phx is the clear cut better team (I have by 3 points).

Phx 6.5, Den 3.5 in my power ratings.

Playoff Theme:  PARITY!  No team has even a 2/3 chance to win the next series!  Contrast that with some prior years, where by example Golden State has a 2/3 chance TO WIN THE TITLE vs. the Field.

Mil/Brook:  Nets -210/Mil 180

Atl/Phil:     Atl -110/PHIL -110

Den/PHX:   Den 170/PHX -200

La/UT:        La 115/UTAH -135

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Pick Creation Time:
06/07/2021 7:47 AM
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