I'm playing on ATLANTA. The Phillies jumped all over the Braves right out of the gate yesterday, en route to a 12-2 blowout win. I fully expect the Braves to respond today. Anderson has a stellar 2.04 ERA his past three starts. Velasquez checks in off a quality start. However, keep in mind that was just the second time since 2019 that he's pitched six or more innings. He still allowed a home run, his fifth allowed in the past three games, a span of only 14 1/3 innings. Anderson, on the other hand, hasn't served up a long ball in any of his past four starts, a span of 22 2/3 innings. Look for the Braves to bounce back, moving to 48-24 their past 72, when listed as a home favorite in the -125 to -175 range.