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Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2021-04-08T02:10:00.000Z 2021-04-08T02:10:00.000Z - NBA

561 Utah Jazz
vs.
562 Phoenix Suns

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

04/07/2021

NBA Totals

UN UTA/PHO

117-113

225½-109

3

L

-327

Analysis
I'm playing on Utah/Phoenix UNDER the total. The Suns have been involved in some high-scoring games of late. Those results have worked in our favor, as they've kept this O/U line relatively high. I believe that it'll prove to be too high. Keep in mind that the Suns' recent 'overs' have come against Atlanta, Chicago, OKC and Houston. The Hawks are relatively mediocre defensively and the other three teams all rank towards the bottom of the pack, in terms of both points allowed per game and field goal percentage allowed. Tonight, however, the Suns will face a Utah team which ranks in the top 3 in both those categories. The Jazz hold opposing teams to a lower field goal percentage than any other team in the West. The Suns are also stingier than some may realize. They rank #9 in terms of field goal percentage allowed, #4 in the West. In terms of points allowed, they're #5 in the NBA and #3 in the West. Indeed, these are two of this year's top defenses. The last time they met was on New Year's Eve, at Utah. The O/U line was 219 and they combined for just 201, a 106-95 'upset' for the Suns. With the UNDER at a perfect 5-0 the past five times that the Jazz attempted to avenge a home loss, look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting.
Pick Creation Time:
04/07/2021 5:51 AM
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