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Pro Pick From
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(At current odds)

2021-01-09T21:40:00.000Z 2021-01-09T21:40:00.000Z - NFL

143 Los Angeles Rams
vs.
144 Seattle Seahawks

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

01/09/2021

NFL Totals

UN LOS/SEA

20-30

43

3

L

-330

Analysis
PROP:  2 stars:

Sea Russell Wilson UNDER 254.5 pass yards, 2 stars.






Here are my INITIAL notes/thoughts on the week:




Wildcard Week

Ind BUF -6.5, 51

Lean Bills

Bills Undervalued, are they the best team?

Bills 9-1;  Only Loss Hail Mary to Az, 8 of 9 wins ez blowout wins, only close gm 3 point win vs. NE

Josh Allen was bottom 5 in accuracy in 2018 and 2019

2020:  2nd MOST accurate (+4.6 percent), no 1 was Watons, no. 3 Rodgers

Indy:  Misleading 14 point win vs. Jax, only lead by 6 with 4 min left at midfield……

Weather Edge:  Colts only 1 gm in Cold all year (lost by 4 at Pit)

          Dome Team with Rivers heads to 30 degrees Buffalo

Energy Edge:  Bills laugher win………Indy took a full effort last week to win

 

 

 

 

 

 

La/SEA -3.5 42.5

LIKE UNDER

Rams 4 point Downgrade to Wolford, likely starter

Wolford 22/38, 6.1 O TD/1 Int, 2 S, 75 QBR, 6/56

Narrative! Is he as good as Goff?  Reality, Rams offense scores 9 points vs. Az (Got a pick 6, and a safety to get to 18)

Sea:  Has become an “under” team, D improving, offense not as good.

Last 6 games, Sea games only averaging 37.5 points

Last week: 49, BUT only 600 yards of offense……….12-16 LATE when Sea got a TD on 4th and goal from 6…….4 min left……aberration

Tb/Wash 8, 45   Lean UNDER

Brady peaking:  QBR last 4 games 81, YTD 72, 12 TD 1 int

Chemistry with AB helping: Last 3 games, 93, 35, 138 yards!

Wash:  Short Week, SNF now play Saturday Night,

Energy Edge:  TB coasts to win vs. Atl…….Wash tough physical game vs. Philly

Alex Smith Health?  22/32 162, 5.1 2 TD, 2 INt, sacked 3x, QBR 32 (QTD 35)

Smith has been below average QB this year, and NOW he is not 100%!

Andy Dalton just torched Philly D for 12.6/pass week before…Smith struuggled

Balt/Ten -3-120, 54.5

LIKE BALT

Balt: Peaking or a bully?  Maybe a bit of both?

Wins Dal 34-17, Clev 47-42, Jax 40-14, NYG 27-13, Win 38-3 5-0 SU/ATS

Ten D Fatigued!  5 of 7 on road, last 2 on road

Titans have given up 38 and 40 last  2 weeks (Hou, @ GB)

Titans DID win earlier in yr, and not a fluke, Ten 30 Balt 24 OT

Titans won stats , 423 vs. 306 YPP:  6.2 vs. 4.9

Derek Henry:  378 carries, 35 last gm, (only other gm in 30s, week1 31)
Hnery only 303 carries regular season last yr!) 83in playoffs…….

 

Chic/NORL-9.5  Lean NORL

Brees:  Injury has  a + side, Brees only played 12 games, fresh legs?

Last 2 games, QBR 79 vs. Min, 59 vs. Caro YTD 74.5

 

Chic:  Failed in biggest gm of year, lost 35-16 at home vs a comparable team……

NOrl, no 1 FO team, balanced no 7 offense, 2 D, 5th special teams

Energy Edge:  N ORL in an ez win last week, Chic allin gm vs. GB…….

 

Clev/PIT -6

Lean Pit

Clev was barely able to beat Pit last week, despite gm meaning everything to them, little to pit…..

Mayfield:  Does not handle unusual/new situations well

Now:  Head Coach Stefanski OUT

          Other Coaches OUT including OLINE and WR coach

          Special Teams coach Mike Preifer will take over

          Key Lineman OUT:  Pro Bowl R Guard Bitonio

Clev:  OVERrated in general:  11-5, but was OUTSCORED for year

          By 11 points………

1 week ago Revenge for Pittsburgh………also favors Pit

Energy edge favorts Pit………game meant very little to them………Ben rested

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Pick Creation Time:
01/05/2021 9:39 AM
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