Wildcard Week
Ind BUF -6.5, 51
Lean Bills
Bills
Undervalued, are they the best team?
Bills
9-1; Only Loss Hail Mary to Az, 8 of 9
wins ez blowout wins, only close gm 3 point win vs. NE
Josh Allen
was bottom 5 in accuracy in 2018 and 2019
2020: 2nd MOST accurate (+4.6 percent),
no 1 was Watons, no. 3 Rodgers
Indy: Misleading 14 point win vs. Jax, only lead by
6 with 4 min left at midfield……
Weather
Edge: Colts only 1 gm in Cold all year
(lost by 4 at Pit)
Dome Team with Rivers heads to 30
degrees Buffalo
Energy
Edge: Bills laugher win………Indy took a
full effort last week to win
La/SEA -3.5 42.5
LIKE UNDER
Rams 4 point
Downgrade to Wolford, likely starter
Wolford
22/38, 6.1 O TD/1 Int, 2 S, 75 QBR, 6/56
Narrative!
Is he as good as Goff? Reality, Rams
offense scores 9 points vs. Az (Got a pick 6, and a safety to get to 18)
Sea: Has become an “under” team, D improving,
offense not as good.
Last 6
games, Sea games only averaging 37.5 points
Last week: 49, BUT only 600 yards of offense……….12-16 LATE
when Sea got a TD on 4th and goal from 6…….4 min left……aberration
Tb/Wash 8, 45
Lean UNDER
Brady
peaking: QBR last 4 games 81, YTD 72, 12
TD 1 int
Chemistry
with AB helping: Last 3 games, 93, 35, 138 yards!
Wash: Short Week, SNF now play Saturday Night,
Energy
Edge: TB coasts to win vs. Atl…….Wash
tough physical game vs. Philly
Alex Smith
Health? 22/32 162, 5.1 2 TD, 2 INt,
sacked 3x, QBR 32 (QTD 35)
Smith has
been below average QB this year, and NOW he is not 100%!
Andy Dalton just torched Philly D for 12.6/pass week before…Smith
struuggled
Balt/Ten -3-120, 54.5
LIKE BALT
Balt:
Peaking or a bully? Maybe a bit of both?
Wins Dal
34-17, Clev 47-42, Jax 40-14, NYG 27-13, Win 38-3 5-0 SU/ATS
Ten D
Fatigued! 5 of 7 on road, last 2 on road
Titans have
given up 38 and 40 last 2 weeks (Hou, @
GB)
Titans DID
win earlier in yr, and not a fluke, Ten 30 Balt 24 OT
Titans won
stats , 423 vs. 306 YPP: 6.2 vs. 4.9
Derek
Henry: 378 carries, 35 last gm, (only
other gm in 30s, week1 31)
Hnery only 303 carries regular season last yr!) 83in playoffs…….
Chic/NORL-9.5
Lean NORL
Brees:
Injury has a + side, Brees only
played 12 games, fresh legs?
Last 2 games, QBR 79 vs. Min, 59 vs. Caro YTD 74.5
Chic: Failed in biggest gm of year, lost 35-16 at
home vs a comparable team……
NOrl, no 1
FO team, balanced no 7 offense, 2 D, 5th special teams
Energy Edge: N ORL in an ez win
last week, Chic allin gm vs. GB…….
Clev/PIT -6
Lean Pit
Clev was
barely able to beat Pit last week, despite gm meaning everything to them,
little to pit…..
Mayfield:
Does not handle unusual/new situations well
Now: Head Coach Stefanski OUT
Other Coaches OUT including OLINE and
WR coach
Special Teams coach Mike Preifer will
take over
Key Lineman OUT: Pro Bowl R Guard Bitonio
Clev:
OVERrated in general: 11-5, but
was OUTSCORED for year
By 11 points………
1 week ago
Revenge for Pittsburgh………also favors Pit
Energy edge
favorts Pit………game meant very little to them………Ben rested