game CIN 30 Clev 35
Cin 4.0 yards/play, Clev 7.5
Clev ran all over them
35 rushes for 215 yards (6.1)
Banged up Ribs in Indy Game
Got beat up by Pit……benched in 4th Qutr
We have to expect Clev will run the ball vs. the bad Cin Rush
Cin giving up 5.1 yards/rush
Prop: Will look for Hunt OVER
Hunt just faced indy/Pit….they give up 3.5 and 3.3 per game
actually outplayed NYG last week
13-13, gave up a Fumble 6 at midfield
midway thru 4Q
Still fought back and scored a TD
Dallas: Failed miserably in a GREAT SPOT last week
3rd straight road game, and Az had all the energy
LOOK AT THIS OLINE issue……
C Looney, Ts Collins and SMITH
OUT all on IR
And now backup Ts Drving and Brandon
AND G Zach Martin(4 time pro bowler)
SITUATION we saw week 1, Philly vs. Washington…
Wash DLINE Sacked Wentz 8 times and
won game ………….
Det: Upgraded running game going with Rookie Swift
vs. Jax, YTD 6.1
had 12 carries in prior weeks…….
Upgraded passing game with WR Golladay back:
3rd game back, 57 then 62,
and now 105 yards…….
Atl: Upgraded Offense with Julio Jones 100%
Jones was not 100% most of year:
24 yards vs. Dal, missed week 3 vs.
Chic, 32 yards vs. GB
Missed week 5 vs. Car
8/137 17.1 2 TD last week vs. MIN
Atl: AN OVER TEAM with Raheem Morris
Team was ACTIVELY airing it out even
with big lead vs. Min
Up 33-15 LATE in 4q, threw a TD pass
LATE in game……
Car/N ORL -7.5
LIKE Carolina at +7 or more
Car: A team that the market has not caught up with
No team had
more transition…..new Coaches and Bridgewater and new starters
After 2 close ATS losses, team is 3-1
Carolina had an even stat game vs.
Chic, but lost by 7
THAT loss gets this spead to above 7
giving us value
Buf/Jets +10.5 Pass
spot 2nd straight week with SHORT week
Crushed on a
TUESDAY @ Ten
outplayed MNF vs. KC
Sunday on rd at Jets
Jets: internal issues
Williams takes shot at offense
Says the large number of points given up (32/gm) the offense
bears a lot of blame……
Note: Vs. Miami…….the D did play super hard 2h with great
Lean Houbut only at +3.5
1-5 team I can ever remember
6.3-6.1 despite 3rd hardest SOS (KC,Balt,Pit)
improving: Cooks/Fuller targeted 20x last 2 games
Both were banged up in other games, max was 12 combined
Watson: A top 7 QB…….top 7 QBs “always” win 7 or
lean: GB: Good bounceback spot……..team should be
Called out by LeFluer for poor
GB RB JONES
OUT: Look to Play RB WILLAMS OVER 21
yards if you can find it……
STORNG LEAN AZ
4-0 in 1 score games (8 or less)
10-2 last year
Was only 5% to beat Minny SNF 10/11
EASIEST SOS IN NFL (Az is 2nd easiest)
Sea: 6.6-6.2, Az 6.1-5.2
AZ: 3 straight road games (all
Now home (46.5% ATS historically)
LIKE UNDER 45, hooping for higher number……
SF: Was very effective with quick very short
passes vs. Rams/Keep pressure off Jimmy G. Have to expect similar game plan.
Further: Belichick very likely to gameplan effectively
vs. G, should know all his weaknesses…….
NE: Compromised on the OLINE.
Lost G Mason
to IR, last week early in game lost OL ELuemunor to Ankle inj…….he is ?
They had NO ability to protect Cam vs.
Market: HATES NE?
We saw a huge power move against them from -10 to -7 vs.
In general, when we see that much steam against a team, and
it wins easily, that is a team that gets faded again the next week……
Pats: 10-4 ATS off back 2 back losses
Pats: 11-3 ATS
Belechick vs. past Qbs
dominates: THE WEATHER
snow showers expected
Drew Lock 5 games played:
The QBR 14 game was a 3-23 loss @KC IN
SNOW KC 10 days to prepare
KC: Lost their last big favorite Div Gm vs.
Likely keeps them fully motivated here
TB: OVERRATED based on their blowout win vs. GB
GB: Was not ready to play Sunday
the team had a “crap” week of practice, and that was a big part of how the game
showed little fight in the game (choosing to punt at midfield down 21). An early white flag sent a message that this
was not a game they were going to be playing hard in the 2nd half.
LV: Great spot,
Comes in off a bye, (team has been banged up…..Ruggs, Waller, OLine),
and gets a team that has to travel across the country off a huge win UNTIL the whole OLINE couldn’t practice with
LIKE PIT …..waiting for line to PEAK
Titans: Overrated: 5-0
wins @Den, Jax,@Min, Hou
Their one solid game was a great spot
hosting Buf Tuesday
stats: Avg…….. 6.2 ypp-6.2 against
FO has Ten no 8 team, 3rd
in offense 22 in D
FO has Pit no 3 team, 9th in offense, 2nd in
Why still JUST A LEAN:
Bad spot for
Pit: Just crushed Clev in a huge
Play Titans on rd, then they are AT
RAVENS NEXT WEEK!!
LIKE CHARGERS in teasers
(With Pit, with Det)
Chargers: Undervalued based on close losses
4 straight 1 score gm losses (KC Car
@Tb @ N Orl)
Most recent loss, missed a GW fg as a
7 point dog…….
Jax: Team with questionable motivation:
D has now given up 30 4 straight weeks
Team lost 16-34 to Det, and lost 2h to
Det has been HORRIBLE in 2h,
especially with leads….
Minshew on hot seat? Marrone may sit him?
Mike Glennon back up
lost 16-24 @ SF but it was a horrible spot
miles traveled, and it was their 4th rd game in 5 weeks
desperate SF team playing their 3rd straight home game
Miracle comeback win vs. Det
Ditto comeback win vs. Atl
Coinflip (at best!) win Thursday night vs. Tampa where they
Last week Even in stats, but won by 7 vs. Caro