This is mainly a play against Utah. Utah is without their second leading scorer for the remainder of the season, plus might be experiencing some internal issues with the relationship between their two best players in Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert. The market reacted quickly to fade Utah in their first game back, as the Pelicans opened a two point dog but have been bet up to a two point favorite. The thunder are comparable power rating wise to the Pelicans, so there’s no reason they also shouldn’t be a favorite in this game. The thunder have been undervalued all year, which is why they are a league best 63% ATS this year, and I think they are still undervalued in their first game back.