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Pro Pick From
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Make this pick

(At current odds)

2020-07-31T01:00:00.000Z 2020-07-31T01:00:00.000Z - NBA

703 Los Angeles Clippers
vs.
704 Los Angeles Lakers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/30/2020

NBA Sides

Clippers

101-103

+1½

2

L

-220

Analysis
July 29 update:   With Clippers now missing Lou Williams the line has moved.  I like the Clippers +4.5 tonight.....


BONUS PLAY:  2 units Clippers UNDER 5.5 wins.    The market has obviously moved BIG on gm 1, and the Clippers clearly are short handed, and players have missed huge practice time in Summer Camp.

Yet the Clippers ov/un has not moved.

WE HAVE to play Clippers UN 5.5 here! 




***  July 22 Update: With the Clippers now missing 4 players in Orlando,  I no longer think Clippers will close as the favorite.....

I still like the Clippers.........but not as much as I did last week.....

**************


I believe the Clippers should be a small favorite here........

Clippers are 2-1  vs. the Lakers YTD, AND Clips have "recent" revenge having lost in March to the Lakers.

The Lakers are 5.5 games clear in 1st in West, and their focus in the regular season should be to stay healthy.

The Lakers have already lost two guards (Avery Bradley opted out, and Rondo broke his thumb).  HUGE edge to Clippers here, especially with Lakers sorting out more minutes/rotations........

Clips should win this game........





Note:   A few books are putting up NBA season wins the rest of the way:

If you have access, these are GREAT BETS:

Lakers UNDER 5.5 wins 
Wash UNDER 2.0 wins

Here are my numbers on all teams.........what I believe they SHOULD be, in the far right column.......

Note:  New Orleans has by far the easiest Schedule......

Note, a 1/2 game is worth about 85 cents in this 8 game schedule!

So Wash UNDER 2.5 -185 and Wash UNDER 2 -100 are equal bets.........

team SOS SOS PRATING Margin/gm Wins
1 N Orl Utah LAC Mem Sac Wash SA Sac Orl -1.2 2 3.2 4.9
2 Phil Ind SA Was Orl Port Phx Tor Hou -0.1 4 4.1 5.1
3 Bost Mil Por Mia Brook Tor Orl Mem Wash 0.6 6.5 5.9 5.6
4 Orl Brook Sac Ind Tor Phi Bos Brook Norl 1.2 -1 -2.2 3.4
5 Utah Norl Okc LAL Mem SA  Den Dal SA  1.4 1 -0.4 3.9
6 Sac SA Orl Dal Norl Brook Hou Norl LAL 1.4 -2 -3.4 3.1
7 Brook Orl Wash Mil Bos Sac LAC Orl Port 1.4 -4 -5.4 2.6
8 IND Phi Was Orl PHx LAL Mia Hou Mia 1.5 1 -0.5 3.9
9 MIL Bos Hou Brook Mia Dal Tor Wash Mem 1.5 6.5 5.0 5.3
10 OKC Utah Den LAL Mem Was Phx Mia LAC 1.6 2 0.4 4.1
11 S Ant Sac Mem Phi Den Utah Norl Hou Utah 1.8 -4 -5.3 2.6
12 LA Cli LAL NORL Phx Dal Port Brook Den OKC 1.9 7.5 5.6 5.5
13 Dal Hou Phx Sac LAC Mil Utah Port phx 2.4 4.5 2.1 4.6
14 Phx Wash Dal LAC IND Mia OKC Phi Dal 2.4 -1 -3.4 3.1
15 Wash  Phx Brook Ind Phi Norl OKC Mil Bos 2.5 -9 -11.0 1.1
16 Hou Dal Mil Por Lal Sac SA Ind Phi 2.6 5 2.4 4.7
17 Den Mia Okc SA  Port Utah LAL LAC Tor 2.9 4.5 1.6 4.4
18 Mem Port SA NORL Utah OKC TOR Bos Mil 3.0 -1 -4.0 2.9
19 LAL LAC Tor Utah Okc Hou Ind Den Sac 3.1 6.5 3.4 4.9
20 Port Mem Bos Hou Den LAC Phi Dal Brook 3.4 0.5 -2.9 3.2
21 Mia Den Tor Bos Mil Phx Ind OKC Ind 3.7 3.5 -0.2 4.0
22 Tor LAL Mia Orl Bos Mem Mil Phil Den 4.1 6 1.9 4.5
Pick Creation Time:
07/07/2020 12:15 PM
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