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(At current odds)

2020-03-08T19:35:00.000Z 2020-03-08T19:35:00.000Z - NBA

503 LA Lakers
vs.
504 LA Clippers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

03/08/2020

NBA Totals

UN LAL/LAC

103-112

225½

2

W

200

Analysis

Los Angeles Lakers @ Los Angeles Clippers 
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL 
3:35pm ET / 12:35pm PT / 
#503-504  

Sharp Statistical Bettors already know that each of these teams are ranked in the Top 4 for the season in Defensive Efficiency (Clips: #4 at 106.5 pts allowed per 100 possessions / Laker: #2 at 105.5. With that said, both of the teams have stepped up their defensive intensity BIG-TIME since the resumption of play after the All-Star break. In that time frame, the Lakers are allowing only 99.4 pts/per/100 while the Clippers are at 104.5… 

 Our absolute FAVORITE database ‘UNDER’ situation is active in this game. When two OUTSTANDING Conference teams hook up against each other in the 2nd half of the season, we ALWAYS look to Go Low. These games tend to have a ‘PLAYOFF-feel’ to them. And what happens in the Playoffs? Tempo slows down… The HALF-court game rules… Defensive intensity is turned up significantly… and overall scoring is down. 
(1) 6-27-1 O/U last 5 years: All GAME 45 or greater same-CONFERENCE games when (a) the home team is FAVORED… and (b) BOTH teams have great current W/L percentages of .666 or better (Clippers vs Lakers). These games have gone an amazing 3-20 O/U in the last 3 years… and 1-9 O/U in the last 2… including a perfect 0-10 O/U when the OU line is 209 or more points. With numbers like those, its NO WONDER that this has been our favorite database UNDER situation of the last few seasons…  

This a great Day of the Week for LOW-scoring results in same-division games, when they are playing in the second half of the season. 
(2) 4-17 O/U last 4 years / 0-10 O/U last 2 years: All SUNDAY Same-DIVISION games in the NBA in (a) GAME 50 or greater… when (b) the Home team is favored by LESS than (<) 8 points (Clippers vs Lakers)…

With the Clippers off two very significant DOMINANT (and low-scoring) road wins in a row (and vs two very good teams in the Rockets and Thunder), our database tells us that: 
(3) NBA Same-DIVISION home favorites off 2 or more DOUBLE-DIGIT road wins in a row (Clippers), have gone 4-17 O/U in the last 12 years. And in WESTERN CONFERENCE play, our numbers improve to 1-11 O/U…  

As long as we are querying DIVISION games, let’s look at each team’s REST situation. The Clippers last played on Thursday wheeler the Lakers played on Friday. 
(4) 2-10 O/U last 6 years / 0-6 O/U last 2 years: GAME 55 or greater DIVISION home favorites in a ‘2/1’ REST situation (Clippers vs Lakers)…  

The Lakers just might be off their BEST win of the season on Friday. They beast the best team in the NBA (Milwaukee), and held the league’s most EFFICIENT offense to only 103 points. 
(5) 0-7 O/U last 2 years: All Conference road teams off a SU big WIN over a .800 or better opponent (Lakers).
Pick Creation Time:
03/08/2020 8:33 AM
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