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2020-03-05T01:05:00.000Z 2020-03-05T01:05:00.000Z - NBA

527 Chicago Bulls
vs.
528 Minnesota T'wolves

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

03/04/2020

NBA Totals

OV CHI/MIN

108-115

230½

2

L

-220

Analysis

CHICAGO BULLS @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES 
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
#527-528 / 8:05pm ET / 5:05pm PT 

After two days of CLOSE ‘Under’ winners, we’re going back to the OVERS on Wednesday Night. And we’re confidently expecting a SHOOTOUT in the non-conference game between the TIMBERWOLVES and BULLS. And when it comes to the T’Wolves, why not? After last night’s OVER vs the Pelicans in the Big Easy (273 points), Minnesota is now the #1 OVER team since the resumption of play after the All-Star break (6-1 O/U / 248.7 combined ppg!). They’ve quickens their offensive game to the point that they are also #1 in PACE of Play during that time frame as well. Their average of 108.3 possessions per game is a full 3 ppg higher than the next highest teams (Washington and New Orleans at 105.5). And on defense, we know what we’re getting in this one. And that’s NO defense. Minnesota: #20 on defense for the year (111.5 pts per 100 possessions)… but #29 in their last 10 games (118.0 pts/per/100). Guess who ALSO shows up with a horrific defense in their last 10 games? That would be the CHICAGO BULLS, who are DEAD LAST (#30) in that same time span (118.2 pts allowed per 100 possessions). Sharp OU bettors are probably aware of what’s going on with the Bulls lately. But in case you didn’t know, Chicago has played seven ROAD games since late January. ALL 7 of those games have gone OVER the Total (7-0 O/U). Even MORE significant (given the small sample size) is Chicago’s average MARGIN in those games: +17.5 points per game!  

With Minnesota having played just last night, our first three database queries have us on the search for any high scoring ‘No Rest’ situations. 
(1) 9-1 O/U last 3 years: All NBA home teams with NO REST off s SU double-digit road DOG win (T’WOLVES were +10.5 last night), when the OU line is < 237 points… 
(2) 23-5-1 O/U last 2 years: All Western Conference HOME teams (MINNESOTA) with NO REST versus any Eastern Conference opponent (CHICAGO), when the OU lime is > 236 points… 
(3) 11-3 O/U last 24 months: All NBA teams with NO REST after playing road game in ‘The Big Easy’ the previous night (MINNESOTA)… 

 In that shootout last night, the final score was Minnesota 139 - New Orleans 134. 
(4) 7-0 O/U last 7 years: All non-division home favs of -3 > pts in the 2ND HALF of the season (Game 41 >), off a SU road win in which they scored AND allowed 125 or more points (MINNESOTA)… 

So after scoring only 91 points against Dallas on Sunday, Minnesota poured in 139 points last night. 
(5) 7-1-1 O/U last 4 years / 4-0 O/U last 2 years: All Western Conference team who scored 130 > pts and 95 < pts in their last 2 games (T’WOLVES), when the OU lime is 218 or more…  

Both of these teams have very poor W/L percentages on the season (Min: .300 / Chi: ,344). 
(6) 10-1 O/U since December: All NON-CONFERENCE games when BOTH teams have a current W/L percentage of LESS than (<) .400 (BULLS @ T’WOLVES), and the OU line is 223 or more points… 

Chicago is also off a dog win in their last game. They beat the Mavericks on Monday (in which we were fortunate to barely cash an UNDER winner) by the score of 109-107 as home dogs of +7 points. 
(7) 17-5-1 O/U since November / 10-1 O/U last 2 months: All NBA road teams off a home DOG win (CHICAGO), when the OU line is < 236 points. 
(8) 7-1-1 O/U last 4 years: All NBA road dogs of < 8 pts off a SU non-conference home WIN in a game in which they were an underdog of +6 or more points (CHICAGO).
Pick Creation Time:
03/04/2020 9:42 AM
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