ADD a 2 star TEASER:
457 Jax +8.5 with JETS +8.5 -120
2 STARS
I Like the Jets, and lean to the Jax.
So teasing both +2.5s UP is a solid play
ADD: Tampa Bay TEAM TOTAL OVER 22.5 points -120, 2 stars
*********
**********
WASH -2.5
I LIKE the JETS
Matchup Edge JETS:
Washington Under Callahan has been emphasizing the
run
Wash has 14 more rushes than passes
the last 3 games
The Jets D stuff the run:
Jets give up 3.0 y/rush NO.1 in NFL!
FO has the Jets RUSH D at No2……..
And Wash QB Haskins is not to be trusted
YTD:
O TD/4 INT
@NYG 9/17 6.3 0/3 QBR 16.5
@ Min 3/5 33 6.6 0/1 QBR 0.1
@Buf 15/22 144 0/0 QBR 46
The Jets Darnold has struggled but he is still the
clearly superior QB
I like the Jets+ 2.5, I bet the Jets +2.5
… Dallas -6.5 DET
Stafford OUT
(Hip)
Jeff Driskel, 5 point Downgrade vs. Stafford
Driskel 27/46 269 5.8 1/1 Sacked 2x
QBR 40 vs. Chic
Driskel 6th
round pick, 2016 by 49ers Waived.
Jeff Driskel, 2018 QBR 30, (8 games with Bengals,
started last 5)
2018
QBR BELOW every QB but 1 (Rosen 24)
Driskel LOST
his job to 4th Round Pick Rookie Ryan Findley……
Impact of Stafford: I made the game
Dal -2 vs 100%
Stafford Dal -7 vs Driskel
Dallas: No. 1 FO Offensive Team
Dallas: Shorter Week on RD off tough physical SNF
game vs. Min
… New Orl -5/T BAY
TBay Receivers have the edge
WRS Mike Evans and Chris Godwin BOTH in top5
in yards
Saints best CB, Lattimore likely to miss
Went out in 2q (Julio Jones caught a 54 yd pass right after)
Saints’ Brees
looked fine last week
Poor starts, but it was due mostly to Defensive Pressure
His arm looked fine……
…Atl CAR -4
Atl in a letdown situation here:
Off THE Biggest UPSET of the year vs. Saints
And now ON THE ROAD as a dog vs. Carolina…..
And Atl has new Injuries:
Starting RB Freeman is OUT
Starting TE Hooper is OUT
He is a top 5 TE in league
… Jax/IND -2.5
Foles Returns:
2.5 point UPGRADE vs. Minshew
Minshew:
Had been struggling after a good start
25th now in QBR (45)
3 of his last starts have been subpar (QBR 35 or less)
Hoyer: Pit 17/26 168 6.5 3/1 QBR 55.5
Mia 18/39 204 5.2
1/3 QBR 5.0
The Big Question: Is Brissett 100%? He is probable with an MCL Sprain
Healthy Brissett is 3.5 point
upgrade….
Hoyer had disappointed……and was awful vs Mia (QBR 5 vs. Mia)!
Did the team Rush back Brissett?
TY HILTON Unlikely
to return Worth 1 point.
… Den/MIN -10.5
Min winning
trends:
Cousin 1 pm EST start time: 66% ATS
Zimmer at home vs. nondivision: 24-6-1 ATS
Min 11-1
SU, Min 11-0-1 ATS pre bye
Den Brandon Allen totally unproven, 1st
road game in NFL
And faces the Min D and the noise in
the Stadium…….
Den: Brandon vs. Clev 12/20 192 9.7 2/0 Sacked 3x
QBR 41 RTG 125.6
… Buf/Mia +6.5
Mia:
Undervalued every week
5-0 ATS with Fitz
Mia has outscored
opponents with him by 2 points since he entered vs. Wash 5 games ago
Fitz a top 10 QB last
5 Weeks (QBRs 76 70 43 80 60)
Mia outplayed Buf in 21-31 loss 3 weeks ago
Won
yardage by 75 yards WON 1st downs by 7
… Hou/BAL-4
Hou: Rarely
gets blown out:
Hou has lost
8 games in the regular season the last 2 years
ALL of them have been by 7 or fewer
points…..
Hou: Energy
Edge:
Hou off a bye
Baltimore off 3 straight stellar games (@Sea, NE, @ Cin)
Hou win in their last game was VERY impressive
Crushed a Jax team that was used to playing in
… Az/SF-11.5 Lean AZ 11.5
Rematch of a recent Thursday Night game 2 weeks
ago
SF Jimmy G was missing Kittle and Sanders last week
Kittle OUT, and Sanders
Questionable
They got 60% of Jimmy
G’s 317 yards passing in the 1st meeting between the teams 2 weeks
ago…….
Kyler Murray keeps improving:
QBR now 57, now 14 in league
Az:
UNDERVALUED based on Muray’s slow start to year
2 of his 1st 4 games he
struggled (Det, Sea)
Bad spot Az: 4th rd game in 5
weeks
... Ne/PHILLY 3.5
NE: Key edge, off a blowout loss, AND a bye AND
SBowl Revenge from 2 seasons ago.
Pats 55-24 ATS with Revenge (going back to 2000)
Pats have had 2 Revenge games THIS year
Beat Pit 33-3
Beat Mia 43-0
SB Revenge
(64%)
Pats 13-4 ATS
playing with rest
Eagles:
Health on offense still an issue:
WR DesEan Jackson out for year
WR Jeffrey ? T Jason Peters ? RB
Jordan Howard?
Ne: Still
hurting on offense:
30th in league in
Yards/rush (3.2)
Missing the 2 lineman and
FBack
And NE missing downfield Receivers:
Only 1 WR over 300 yards Edelman (10.5
y/R)
Sanu a possession receiver also (8.7
y/r)
Speed WR Dorsett got banged up in 1st
half last game
… Cin/OAK-10.5
OAK: 1st
game in a long time in a good spot
3rd
straight home game
After a 21,000 miles, 5 game road trip Odyssey we can make
case team finally is fully rested
10 days to prepare……
2-0 SU/ATS vs. Det, then Chargers (both coinflip games)
Cin: Clear
cut worst team in NFL
Failed miserably in a home run spot
vs. Balt
Team:
Resigned that they cannot compete
RAN MIxon 30+ times Sunday (despite losing by 35)
Team got down big, and just
gave up…..and chose to run
… Chic/Rams -6.5
Rams Offense:
Cluster OLINE injuries: Missing 3 starters
C: Brian Allen injured
last week, OUT FOR SEASON
T: Noteboom out for
season 10/14
RT:
Havenstein: Inj last week, OUT
Rams juggling entire OLINE
Teams played a dead nuts UNDER last year
Rams 6 CHICAGO 15
Rams 214 yards, CHIC 294
Game WAS played In cold
conditions….
Bears: Offense continue to struggle
Did not cross midfield until 2:00 left
in 1st half vs. Det
3rd game of last 4 Chic
offense has failed in 1st half
Vs. Saints, Eagles and Lions