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Pro Pick From
Brad Powers

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(At current odds)

2019-11-17T00:30:00.000Z 2019-11-17T00:30:00.000Z - College Football

397 Alabama Crimson Tide
vs.
398 Mississippi St Bulldogs

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

11/16/2019

CFB Totals

UN ALA/MSS

7-38

63½

3

W

300

Analysis
We love the UNDER here. First, The UNDER is 10-1-1 in the series with an average cover of 10.2 ppg. On top of that the UNDER is also 11-4 (+9.2 ppg) in Alabama games when they Tide are coming off a straight up loss (Saban Era). It makes sense that any time Saban is coming off a rare loss, he goes back to basics. What is basics for Saban? It’s run the football (especially with a less than 100% QB) and it’s play defense, something Alabama didn’t do last week vs LSU. On the other side, do you really trust an average Miss St offense to have success?

If you're waiting now to play it...the total is down to 60...more like a 1.5-star at this number.

Top Leans of Weekend:

Lean (339/340) Central Michigan/BALL ST OVER 60. 3:30pm ET.
Lean (358) NOTRE DAME -7 over Navy. 2:30pm ET.
Lean (362) CALIFORNIA +4.5 over Usc. 11:00pm ET.
Lean (388) MICHIGAN -13.5 over Michigan St. 12:00pm ET. Up to -14.
Lean (402) OLE MISS +21.5 over Lsu. 7:00pm ET.

Weather totals (13-plus mph expected): UNDERs are 57% (vs closing line) since 2005 with 13 or mph wind
(323/324) Tulane/TEMPLE UNDER 54.5. 12:00pm ET.
(375/376) Kansas/OKLAHOMA ST UNDER 68.5. 12:00pm ET.
(377/378) Texas/IOWA ST UNDER 65. 3:30pm ET.
(399/400) Wisconsin/NEBRASKA UNDER 50.5. 12:00pm ET.
Pick Creation Time:
11/13/2019 9:37 AM
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