Pro Pick From
Ben Burns

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(At current odds)

2019-10-09T21:02:00.000Z 2019-10-09T21:02:00.000Z - MLB

913 St. Louis Cardinals
vs.
914 Atlanta Braves

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

10/09/2019

MLB Run Lines

Braves

1-13

+1½-167

2

L

-334

Analysis

I'm playing ATLANTA on the run-line. (+1.5 runs) These same starters went h2h in Game 2. I backed Foltynewicz and the Braves, also on the run-line, and they rewarded me with a 3-0 win. Foltynewicz became the first Brave since Glavine in the 2001 WS to toss seven or more shutout innings in a playoff game. Here's an excerpt of what I said before that one: "...While I do expect them to win outright, we already saw a 1-run game yesterday. In this type of series, the value of an extra +1.5 runs can't be overstated. Yes, Flaherty has been on a major roll - I won with the Cards (-1.5) the last time that he pitched. He hasn't been that dominant here at Atlanta though. His lone 2019 start here saw him allow three runs in six innings. A quality start but not outstanding. Note that he walked five in that game. Also, in his previous start here (09/18) he gave up five runs in 4 2/3 innings. Don't let his season stats fool you, Foltynewicz has been extremely stingy for some time now, as he's quietly gone 6-1 with a 2.65 ERA his last 10 starts. In his last home start, he tossed eight shutout innings. Last time he faced the Cards, he allowed a single unearned run through six complete, winning 5-2. Expect AT LEAST a "run-line cover" from the desperate Braves..." My thoughts haven't changed. 

Pick Creation Time:
10/09/2019 7:14 AM
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