I'm playing on ATLANTA. I won with the Phillies yesterday but I like the Braves to bounce back here. Keuchel has a dominant 0.95 ERA his past three starts. In fact, over his past five starts, he's allowed just three runs, a span of 31 innings. When he saw the Phillies in July, he held them to two runs through seven innings. In three career starts against Philly, he's allowed just three total runs. Eflin hasn't had nearly that type of success against Atlanta. On the season, he's 0-2 against the Braves, allowing 17 runs (12 earned) in 5 2/3 innings! The Braves are a profitable 25-8 their past 33 as road favorites in the -125 to -175 range. Expect them to improve on those stats here.