I'm playing SAN DIEGO on the run-line (+1.5 runs) While I like the Padres' chances of winning this one 'outright,' I'm happy to grab the extra +1.5 runs. Lauer has struggled on the road but he's got a solid 2.89 ERA here at home. The Padres have won five of his past six starts here. McKay can hit, so thats one advantage that he has. However, he also has a 5.79 ERA in four starts since the All Star Break. Opposing batters are hitting .313 against him in those games. Expect Lauer and the Padres to bounce back with AT LEAST a 'run-line cover.'