I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the run-line (+1.5 runs.) I expect the Phillies to win this one 'outright.' However, in a game where runs could well be at premium, getting an extra +1.5 runs could prove extremely valuable. Nola goes for the Phillies and he's currently in outstanding form. Last time out, he struck out nine over six innings, allowing a single run. That gives him a superb 0.87 ERA his past three starts. In fact, he's got a 0.76 ERA his past five. On the season, Nola has a 2.74 ERA in 12 home starts, much better numbers than he has on the road. Stripling, on the other hand, has a 5.79 ERA his past three starts. Expect AT LEAST a 'run-line cover' for the home team.