Only $1. GoodFella's 3* NFL Triple Dime GAME OF WEEK 91-46 (66%) 3* GOW Win Streak

Pro Pick From
Dave Essler

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(At current odds)

2019-07-12T00:05:00.000Z 2019-07-12T00:05:00.000Z - MLB

951 Houston Astros
vs.
952 Texas Rangers

Date

Sport/Type

Pick

Score

Odds

Size

W/L

$

07/11/2019

MLB Run Lines

Rangers

5-0

+1½-125

1

W

100

Analysis
Valdez was lit up by the Yankees AND Pittsburgh prior to the break, and after the break things RARELY continue as they were. It's a big mistake to assume teams that had been hitting/winning (or losing) just pick up where they left off. Houston won seven of eight while Texas lost six of eight, but on the road. At home, they're 29-17, and 8-1 in Lance Lynn's home starts. In Lynn's last seven starts his ERA is under 3.00 (2.85). Houston hasn't seen much of Lynn and in limited exposure, haven't done much with him. (.203 BA in 52 at bats).

It's typical Arlington weather for July (93* and humid) which I would THINK would effect Valdez (not used to it) more than Lynn, and with such a big total, the RL is very cheap, so although the knee-jerk reaction is to take Houston and the OVER, I love the Rangers RL and the F5 under. Bullpens are rested, but in this case unpredictable, so for the next few days it might be not try to figure them out.
Pick Creation Time:
07/11/2019 7:15 AM
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