Tuesday, June 11th
8:40pm ET / 5:40pm PT / #957-958
Chicago Cubs w/ Quintana @ Colorado Rockies with Lambert
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*BOX PLAY… a play DEPENDENT on both starting pitchers.
Tonight’s Game Two of the CUBS / ROCKIES series fits all our criteria for the best-valued UNDER of the Day. Two pitchers in solid current form… Two teams trending UNDER as of late… a low-scoring series history… A potential assist form Mother Nature… and to top it all off, one of the better UNDER Umpires in Major League Baseball this season.
Let’s start with that Man in Blue. Working behind the dish for Game two of this Colorado / Chicago series will be GARY CEDERSTORM. He comes into tonight’s game with a year-to-date record of 3-8-3 O/U record in his 14 games. That ties him as the 5th BEST ‘Under’ Umpire on the season (along with Tichenor, Hoberg, and Danley). He’s one of only 11 Major League Baseball Umpires that is averaging 8.0 or LESS runs per game on the season. Considering tonight’s line at Coors Field is 12 runs, that’s a nice OU ‘cushion. The numbers are even BETTER for Cederstorm in his NATIONAL LEAGUE games, where he has gone 1-4-2 O/U on the season with an average of only 6.3 combined runs per game. Since late April, Cederstorm has gone 1-6-1 O/U in his last eight games… with an average if only 6.6 runs per game. He’s also homer 9-23 O/U in Chicago Cubs games over the last five+ years.
With last night’s Game One of this series going UNDER, that means that the Cubs and Rockies have now gone 1-4 O/U in their last five versus each other… and 3-7 O/U in the last 10 meetings.
From a TEAM perspective, the visiting Cubs are on a 3-9 O/U run in their last 12 games (7.5 combined runs per game) . Meanwhile, the host Rockies have gone 3-10-1 O/U in their last 14 games… and 1-7-1 O/U In their last nine (8.1 combined runs per game).
Tonight’s pitching matchup features lefty Jose Quintana of the Cubs against rookie right-hander Peter Lambert. This is the exact same pitching matchup as last Thursday, when these two teams were playing each other in Chicago. Both guys pitchers very well in that game. Quintana went all the way into the 8th inning and allowed no home runs and only 3 earned runs. And Lambert looked spectacular in his Major League debut (on the ROAD in a great hitters ark to boot!). He went 7 innings, held the powerful Cub lineup to only 4 hits, no home runs, a GREAT K/BB ratio of 9-1… and win the game by a score of 3 to 1 (OU Line was 8.5). In 11 starts already this season, Quintana has allowed MORE than 3 earned runs only ONCE. Help been much more effective in his NIGHT starts (3.12 ERA) than in his DAY starts (5.04 ERA).
Not that we need it, but we cannot help but notice that we also might get an assist from Mother Nature in this game. This is the ONLY game on the Tuesday schedule in which the winds are projected to be blowing IN from straight-away Center Field in excess of 13 miles per hour…